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-   -   NBL Rd 7 (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=6360)

Pumpa 11th November 2004 11:16 PM

Hello gentlemen - I've been a lurker here for a number of weeks now and thought I would finally take the plunge and begin contributing. I don't claim to be a big time punter, just a battler trying to earn a few extra bucks on the side.

I read with interest the NBL thread where a few of you bombed out, and I can assure you all that you were not alone!! I lost big time on the 36ers vs Kings - I thought Adelaide were morals with the +6.5. They were actually backed in from $1.85 into $1.70ish with SportsTAB. How bad was their D though?? Lots of flashy high scoring players, but they are lazy as all shyte when it comes to playing defence. I will be backing the OVERS when it comes to their games from now on I think!

Wollongong losing to the Hunter was crippling. I learnt though that the Pirates are not as bad as people think, particularly at home. One cannot underestimate the ex-Kings factor of having Kavossy and Melmeth on their roster who are accustomed to a winning culture. They took care of Brisbane the week before too which cost me!

The Bullets have cost me big time this season with their erratic form, but I am going to stick with them. If there is any consolation to their poor start it is that you are getting good prices for them (I won quite handsomely when the beat the Kings a fortnight ago). They will repay me eventually I believe. The cream will rise to the top.

Overall the competition is very even, the difference between the high flyers and the also rans is not as large this season.

Anyway enough of the past, I will put my ballz on the line with my best NBL bets of the weekend.

Adelaide v West Sydney OVER 201.5 @ $1.85
Bris over NZ @ $1.58
Hunter (+10.5) over Townsville @ $1.85

Good luck and happy punting.

thebookie 12th November 2004 06:15 AM

Don't worry, we'll talk you out of that stupid sport eventually!!!

Hahaha

Nah, good luck mate!

I've worked one thing out-the Tigers will not win another game...EVER!!!

thebookie 12th November 2004 08:49 AM

For what it's worth, I like...

Brisbane, Sydney, Adel & Townsville...and the Tigers will not win another game!!!

Fernando 12th November 2004 09:27 AM

Welcome Pumpa, its always good getting more people on board.

Last week had some bad results for some punters , I think they increased there bet size to some extent which rubbed salt in the wound. I dont wish to re open the wound but i was untouched, like i said before i have been waiting in the shadows for the past 2 weeks. My 2003 stats are now organised, last season looked as if it could of been very good for punters. I now need to get 2004 up to date and look for similar situations.

Fernando 12th November 2004 10:59 AM

Just had a look over the odds for this week, There are a few away teams im interested in.

Kings $1.20 vs Wildcats $4.60 Wow! thats a massive price for the wildcats and the line is +9.

Tigers $1.40 vs Taipans $3.00

Razorbacks $1.35 Wildcats $3.22 Both teams back up.

thebookie 12th November 2004 03:56 PM

The Wildcats haven't beaten the Kings in Sydney in 5 years!

knowledge 12th November 2004 06:05 PM

I know I said I wouldn't contribute to NBL any more but there is absolutely no chance Wildcats can beat Sydney. That is all.

thank you.

thefan 12th November 2004 07:14 PM

Same here, I dont back Basketball or soccer anymore. Only sportst I never seem to win.

My tips anyway

Cairns (+6.5)

thebookie 13th November 2004 05:32 PM

Go Taipans!

Go you good things!

Go you road specialists!!!

knowledge 13th November 2004 08:21 PM

now you know why I don't bet on NBL. Sydney lost to Wildcats. :eek:

thebookie 13th November 2004 08:24 PM

And the Tigers are actually going to win a game...

I am banning myself from NBL.

knowledge 13th November 2004 08:29 PM

yeh NBL sucks. If I had bet another week my hair would've turned grey.

thefan 13th November 2004 08:47 PM

NBL is unpredictable. What was it, a five year drought broken.... Sydney u sucked. I didnt back anything. Knowledge,same here,lucklily i didnt back because it would of been such a bad month of punting

Fernando 13th November 2004 09:47 PM

Well im not on the same page as you guys. I can still see alot of good opportunities in the NBL. Wildcats winning at $4.60 is a absolute gold mine, they never should of been higher then $2.85.

I think statistics have a shelf live and what happaned 5 years ago means very little if nothing at all.

Beljulian 14th November 2004 08:03 PM

The NBL unpredictable? I got 6/7 in tipping this week... all you need to know is the Wildcats are HOT! :grin:

Pumpa 24th November 2004 10:18 PM

Thought I would return and wallow in my unsuccessful "balls on the line" early bravado. My bets were unsuccessful and I have not surfaced here since, whereas if they were spot on I'm sure I would have been gloating :smile: sMUG punter!

Basketball is terribly unpredictable but often the bookies get it wrong..keep at fella's, hopefully the good guys will win out over the bag men in the end..


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