Ratings Challenge
Okay, we'll start this officially this week. People who didn't put ratings in last week are welcome to join in with the rest of us this week. You can use any sort of method you like to get your ratings.
Simply list your top 5 rated runners in order with their prices using a 100% market. 2 races to rate this week: CAULFIELD R4-ROBERT TARANTO HANDICAP 1980 M ($50000) 1 MY GIBREEL John Hawkes J Benbow (a3) 10 58 2 CLOWNS John Hawkes D Gauci 5 57.5 3 IRISH CRUSADER (NZ) Brian Mayfield-Smith M Flaherty 7 57 4 MODERN ERA Brian Mayfield-Smith V Hall 3 57 5 CAPADAN (NZ) Ross McDonald N Callow 2 56.5 6 YOU LITTLE BEAUT Tony McEvoy D Oliver 11 56.5 7 ASHKALANTE Cliff Brown S W Arnold 9 55.5 8 MANY ARE CALLED Geoff Daffy N Wilson 6 54.5 9 NO HIGH NO SONG Greg Eurell L Nolen 1 54.5 10 LANCASTER'S GOLD John Ledger S Baster 4 54 11 BIKKIE TIN BLUES Mark Houlahan R Maloney (a3) 8 54 CAULFIELD R5-RUPERT CLARKE STAKES 1400 M ($75500) 1 CHONG TONG Lee Freedman D Nikolic 3 58 2 BROADBAND Lee Freedman D Oliver 4 57 3 LORD VOLKSRAAD (NZ) Brian Mayfield-Smith S Baster 6 56 4 MR. LOFTY (NZ) Peter G Moody L Nolen 7 54.5 5 SHANGO'S IMAGE Geoff Daffy N Wilson 8 53.5 6 YOUTH John Hawkes D Gauci 1 53.5 7 SMART AND MIGHTY Nick Cox K McEvoy 2 53 8 GRUNDY'S CROSSING Barbara Marshman N Ryan (a) 5 52.5 9 TUAREG John Hawkes J Benbow (a) 9 52 Okay, let's see how we go. Not big fields, so if our ratings are any good, we should be able to go pretty close. Anyway, good luck. |
no4 modern era $4.9
no2clowns $6.7 no8 many are called $6.7 no9 no high no song $6.7 no1 my gibreel $9.00 no6 youth $4.3 no3 lord volksraad $4.7 no8 grundy,s crossing $4.7 no7 smart and mighty $5.9 no2 broadband $9.4 no9 tuareg $9.4 |
Geez, that was quick! :)
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System, In the second race that looks like 6 picks at 104%... F |
Well, they're obviously equal 5th picks. It would be better if people could provide only 5 picks, but if you do have equal 5th rated horses, please try to at least put them in some order of preference. As for the odds, that's not absolutely crucial, but it would be much better if people could use a 100% market to price their horses. Some people's ratings are listed in kgs, some in lengths, some in points etc etc, so giving each horse a price is a good way for us to make a good comparison between methods.
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Gday All, just to get this clear... do I rate the 5 picks as the only horses in the field ie 100% of the market or do I do as I normally do rate the whole field as 100%. Then post the top 5? |
xptdriver,
rate the whole field to 100% and then list your top five. |
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Yeah, as Ron said, rate the WHOLE FIELD to 100%, but only post the top 5. Sorry I didn't make that clearer in my initial post. :o |
LOL we haven't even run a race yet and there's queries everywhere!!!
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Yep.
Well, I've been looking after the tipping comp for the last 4 or 5 months, so I know all about that. :D |
MR4
4 Modern Era (3) $4.53 2 Clowns (5) $5.66 6 You Little Beaut (11) $8.98 10 Lancaster's Gold (4) $9.18 1 My Gibreel (10) $10.69 MR5 6 Youth (1) $5.75 2 Broadband (4) $5.81 1 Chong Tong (3) $5.82 4 Mr. Lofty (NZ) (7) $6.99 7 Smart And Mighty (2) $7.89 |
sportz just remove the bottom selection tuareg.
cheers mate |
MR 4
BIKKIE TIN BLUES $5.38 CLOWNS $7.45 MODERN ERA $8.39 IRISH CRUSADER $8.81 LANCASTER'S GOLD $9.57 MR 5 LORD VOLKSRAAD $2.58 BROADBAND $6.03 CHONG TONG $6.49 YOUTH $10.08 GRUNDY'S CROSSING $12.45 |
Ratings Challenge
MR4
8. Many Are Called $5.50 4. Modern Era $6.00 2. Clowns $7.00 6. You Little Beaut $9.00 9. No High No Song $9.50 MR5 2. Broadband $4.00 7. Smart And Mighty $6.50 8. Grundy's Crossing $9.00 6. Youth $9.50 9. Tuareg $12.50 Thanks |
Race 4:
Modern Era - $4.20 My Gibreel - $7.00 No High No Song - $7.00 Clowns - $10.00 Lancasters Gold - $10.00 Race 5: Lord Volksraad - $2.60 Broadband - $3.30 Chong Tong - $6.50 Youth - $6.50 Smart and Mighty - $16.00 Good Punting |
Race 4
Ashkalante $3.50 My Gibreel $8.00 Bikkie Tin Blues $8.00 Many Are Called $10.75 Clowns $12.65 Race 5 Youth $4.85 Grundys Crossing $6.90 Shangos Image $6.90 Chong Tong $8.00 lORD vOLKSRAAD $8.00 |
race 4
modern era $3.7 clowns $6.6 capadan $8.6 many are called $9.7 no high no song $10.6 race 5 youth $3.7 grundys crossing $6.2 smart and mighty $8.6 chong tong $9.7 lord volksraad $10.6 |
My ratings to 100% as follows -
race 4 2.30 seln price name 4 $3.2 MODERN ERA 7 $4.6 ASHKALANTE 6 $6.2 YOU LITTLE BEAUT 1 $10.6 MY GIBREEL 11 $13.3 BIKKIE TIN BLUES race 5 3.10 seln price name 4 $4.2 MR LOFTY 6 $5.6 YOUTH 9 $7.0 TUAREG 2 $8.4 BROADBAND 3 $10.0 LORD VOLKSRAAD PS - If any more rain comes, Tuareg will be harder and harder to beat, very well in with 52. |
Race 4
4 5564-Modern Era (3) $2.70 3 0205-Irish Crusader (NZ) (7) $5.00 5 8067-Capadan (NZ) (2) $6.80 11 0263-Bikkie Tin Blues (8) $8.30 1 3817-My Gibreel (10) $9.30 Race 5 6 x6x4-Youth (1) $4.10 2 6214-Broadband (4) $4.10 3 0902-Lord Volksraad (NZ) (6) $5.70 7 3227-Smart And Mighty (2) $7.50 4 x340-Mr. Lofty (NZ) (7) $9.30 |
Ratings
M4 6- You little beaut $4.25 1- My Gibreel $4.25 4- Modern Era $6.50 9- No High no Song $10.50 7- Ashkalante $13.00 M5 4- Mr.Lofty $4.70 6- Youth $5.50 2- Broadband $6.00 1- Chong Tong $8.50 5- Shango's Image $9.50 Please note- If the rain continues, caulfield will most likely become a front runner bias, with rail out 12m also...me thinks.. cheers |
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Is that likely? Is it raining now? |
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Caulfield Race 4 4: Modern Era $4.20 2: Clowns $5.00 1: My Gibreel $6.50 8: Many Are Called $8.50 6: You Little Beaut $11.50 Caulfield Race 5 2: Broadband $4.20 3: Lord Volksraad $5.00 1: Chong Tong $6.50 6: Youth $8.50 7: Smart And Mighty $11.50 |
Okay, all this talk about rain has got me worried now, but anyway, here goes:
Race 4: 4 MODERN ERA $4.05 9 NO HIGH NO SONG $5.80 6 YOU LITTLE BEAUT $9.25 11 BIKKIE TIN BLUES $9.25 1 MY GIBREEL $10.70 Race 5: 2 BROADBAND $2.10 6 YOUTH $4.25 3 LORD VOLKSRAAD $8.85 1 CHONG TONG $10.60 7 SMART AND MIGHTY $12.45 |
sportz, dont let me scare you, i have no meteorological experience whatsoever but have a look at the radar..
http://mirror.bom.gov.au/products/IDR023.loop.shtml i'm more northern melbourne, where its been raining here most of the morning. whether caulfield gets any rain i'm not so sure.. cheers |
It's just that I was fairly confident on a dry track. Now I'm not nearly so confident.
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MR4
9. No High No Song 22% $4.60 4. Modern Era 21% $4.80 5. Capadan 12% $8.50 11. Bikkie Tin Blues 10% $10.00 2. Clowns 10% $10.00 MR5 6. Youth 26% $3.90 1. Chong Tong 18% $5.50 2. Broadband 17% $6.00 3. Lord Volksraad 14% $7.00 8. Grundy's Crossing 9% $11.00 |
Gday All
Here are my ideas: market to 100% Race 4 2:30 PM Robert Taranto Handicap Open 6 $4.7 You Little Beaut 4 $6.3 Modern Era 5 $8.4 Capadan 1 $8.4 My Gibreel 3 $11.2 Irish Crusader Race 5 3:10 PM Rupert Clarke Stakes Handicap Listed Race Apprentices Cannot Claim. 2 $3.7 Broadband 1 $4.9 Chong Tong 3 $6.6 Lord Volksraad 6 $8.8 Youth 4 $11.6 Mr. Lofty |
I am about 25 minutesfrom Caulfield andthere were a couple of brief showers here but they would not have affected the track condition. Mind you by looking at the sky at the moment if it did open up it could get very wet in a hurry.
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I now don't stand a chance in this little competition, xptdriver throws his great ratings into the pool. I have great respect for his ratings as I have used them before with excellent overlay results. Bets of luck xptdriver, glad to have you here. |
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Gday Chrome, thanx for the words, but of late my Melbourne form has sucked big time.. Good luck with your bets for the day |
Zorro seems to have done best so far with his 2nd and 3rd picks running the quinella. A couple of others got the winner but overall a fairly ordinary result.
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Yeah Ron, I knew this would happen!
When I did my ratings My Gibreel and Irish Crusader were rated equal 5th. I didn't want to include 6 horses, so I had to go for one and I picked My Gibreel. Then I found out that Benbow can only claim 2 kgs instead of 3 kgs now, so I really should have had Irish Crusader in my top 5. Live and learn. |
A better effort all round. System with the trifecta in order with his first three picks. A few others also with the tri in the first five.
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I'll work it all out a bit later, but after just a quick look at all the ratings, I'd say that Zorro will be just in front of Chrome Prince, System and xpt Driver.
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Didn't get in on time...was going to have Youth on top followed by Chong Tong though :-| Not going to be posting much this week...at holiday house!
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THIS WEEK'S RESULTS:
zorro did best in R4 with 50 points and system went best in R5 with 77.5 points. Here are the overall results: zorro (50 + 52.5) 102.5 pts system (7.5 + 77.5) 85 pts ubetido (17.5 + 65) 82.5 pts Dr Ron (15 + 65) 80 pts Chrome Prince (22.5 + 50) 72.5 pts The heavyweight (12.5 + 60) 72.5 pts xpt driver (32.5 + 37.5) 70 pts Duritz (12.5 + 47.5) 60 pts Sportz (2.5 + 45) 47.5 pts QuickFunBet (7.5 + 35) 42.5 pts La Mer (7.5 + 35) 42.5 pts Top Rank (2.5 + 40) 42.5 pts Shaun (2.5 + 37.5) 40 pts The mug (7.5 + 32.5) 40 pts |
how do you allot the points sportz?
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Little bit tricky to explain, but basically the higher up in your top 5 that you rate the winner and the placegetters the more you score. The perfect score for a race is 100 points and to do that you have to rate the horses in order 1-2-3-4-5!!!
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doing good job sportz thanks for the effort mate
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Thanks.
Bad luck system. You scored very well in R5, but if you had kept Tuareg in and dropped Broadband instead, you would have actually picked the first 4 and scored an extra 12.5 points!!! |
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