Mugs Footy Betting '05
 

As I said a couple of months ago Im starting with a bank of 2k and im going to bet between 10-20% of my pot each week and see how I go.
This will make me track all my bets and hopefully have less bad ones.
I will be also plcing futures bets as I go along so let the fun begin.
Any gambler who has advice is welcome to add contributions on this forum, but, I'm really using this to honestly see if I make profit for the footy season.
I'll put up my first bets sometime today or tommorow.

How about joining in our Punters Comp? It's a sticky thread at the top of this forum.

Thanks mate but I really just want to concentrate on this.
I found that witht the spring carnival one I was sometimes being rushed and missed my selections, which set me back.
I'm no mathmetician like most guys in this forum but I reckon I know my AFL as well as anyone so I'll have a dip here.
I'll probly do some stupid things from time to time and any advice by smart punters will be appreciated about how I can maximise my returns.
I dont have any problem with being judged and im prepared to put all my bets up before each game that im betting on.
I hope it turns me into a better punter.

Okay. Sure thing. Good luck tipping winners. :)

OPENING BALANCE $2000

26-2-05- WEST COAST TO WIN BY 19.5PTS@$1.90 FOR $100
WEST COAST TO WIN BY 40+@$2.80 FOR $100

cLOSING BALANCE - $1800

Well done mug punta.

Thanks Sportz. Long road ahead yet,though

West Coast -19.5 Collect
West Coast -39.5 Collect

CLOSING BALANCE- $2270

I wish I knew how he knew,then I could win some money too!

Well done Mugsy!

Opening Balance $2270

Really not confident on these 2 matches so only 1 bet this weekend

Kangaroos +17.5
Carlton - 11.5
Invested $100
Odds @ $3.55

Closing Balance $2170

Good Luck Mugsy.
West Coast scare me a bit.
Got a huge feeling that if they win,they will win by the length of the Subiaco straight.
So I would say Kangaroos straight out or not at all.
Carlton looks good.

Mug are you mirroring these bets with real money? If so, why are you betting just for the sake of it? If you arent completely confident - DONT BET

You got that right!

Oh well. You can't win 'em all. Betsy, if I only bet when I was completely confident I'd never have a bet at all.
I bet because i enjoy it and if I win thats all the better.
If i lose 2k for the footy season that's not going to affect my lifestyle at all. Having said that obviously my aim is to win for the year.
I have learnt a valuable lesson though and that is North like my own Bombers have little leg speed and on the big grounds against fast teams they will continue to be found out.

Opening Balance $2170

Carlton HT/FT Double@ $1.85 for $150

Closing Balance $2020.
GO BLUES. It disgusts me to even say that

HT/FT DOUBLE - CARLTON/CARLTON Collect

$150 @ $1.85

closing balance $ 2297.50

The proof is in this pudding as well!
GO MUGSY.

Opening Balance $2297

I cheated a bit this time because I threw in two union games to beef up my dividend. I wont be doing that from the first round of the real stuff

Carlton to win
Auckland Blues to win
Crusaders to win
Dividend $3.32 for $150

Closing Balance $2147

$3.32!
If Carlton are $2.35 straight out,those other 2 selections must be ************ short!

They were both very short, not, that it did me any good. The Auckland Blues lost!!

Bad luck MP. You weren't the only one to be burnt by Auckland. Just stick to AFL. You seem to be pretty damn good at that. :)

Didn't mummy tell you that ************ never prosper?

Stiff Mugsy!
Did you take those shorties because they were short or do you know a little bit about the other codes as well?

Serves me right Mo, for being a greedy ************
Yeah, I know that the Crusaders and Blues are 2 of the so called best teams in Union.They played off in the granny 2 years ago and the crusaders romped in their match but the Blues got knocked over. That's the beauty of sport, mate and why bookies love multi punters.

Opening Balance $2147

Saints to beat Bris by over 1.5 points @$1.95 for $150
Saints to win 1-39 @$2.5 for $100

Closing Balance $1897

Caught up in the tide Mugsy?
Thought you were more rational than that!

Mo's tip! - St.Kilda - out in the 1st round of the finals!

Easy to spruik after the event Mo. I reckon the saints we're pretty good actually. I reckon if Riewoldt hadn't of gone off it may well have been a different story. Big momentum swing at that stage, but, all credit to the Lions. They were getting smashed in the middle at that stage and turned it around through sheer will power.

Certainly is Mugsy,that's why I wouldn't do that to ya!
Check the posting time - 7:23 pm
Game started Well after 8:30

Fair enuf. Good on ya mate. The clock on my posts always put the wrong times!! Don't know how you fix that?
I havent had another bet yet this round but I reckon the Cats, and the Eagles are the two likely bets. On paper they like much better than there opposition for mine.
Lesson # 1- DONT bet to big in the early rounds of the year. To much is still unknown. Both Brissie and the saints were very hard and intense but gee both sides made some horrible skill errors!

And regarding the Cats and the Eagles,refer Lesson #1.

But regarding the Cats.It's not so much they are too good,but their opposition is just so bad!

Have been out all day but had 2 bets on the footy today.
Treble- Kangaroos, Cats and Eagles for $100 @ $5.34.

And $150 at half time on the Roos @ $1.88. Can't believe they were that price after Livingston went off injured.
Also, had a tab footy bet double on Nth 1-36,Melb 1-36 but that is seperate of this forum that im betting on.

Closing Balance- $1929.

Easy to spruik after the event Mugs!

Pretty good punting considering you backed Carlton previously.Like me.But I stayed out this time.

OOOOHHH!! Harsh but fair!! I will always be honest on this forum because im only cheating myself otherwise. I just thought the Blues were ripe for the picking. Laidley and his staff have been thinking about this game for 3 weeks. Pagan and the Blues have been trying to win a preseason cup.
Also, I don't think there is much between North and Carlton and $2.40 was overs as far as im concerned. It still doesn't mean i'll collect, I still need the cats and weagles to get up and the West Coast's record at AAMI is deplorable.

Looks to me like you are up at least $32 regardless of the results!
Anyway I'm off to take a few doubles and quaddies meself.
Good Luck.

OB- $1929

SWANS 40+
CATS 40+
ODDS $6.70 FOR $50.

CB- $1879

Both the double and treble got up!!
Great weekend.
Closing Balance- $2748

Up north to the sun of Byron Bay for my end of season cricket trip so only 1 bet this weekend.
ALL UP

WEST COAST to win
MELB to win
SAINTS to win and
SWANS to win for $200 at odds of $5.62

CLOSING BALANCE $2548.

Good luck to all punters this weekend

Me guts tells me there ain't 2 winners here.
Enjoy the sun anyway!

I think I'll have to get back on the quickeze.
Must have been a mild case of indigestion.
Well done son.
Although still reckon the saints are still being somewhat overrated.

Byron is the best place for a holiday ever. I have the sorest neck from perving on honeys from the world over.

OB- $2548

Saints to win
Blues to win
Bombers to win
Odds @ $3.22 for $200

Saints to win by 12+
Blues to win by 17+
Eagles to win by 7+
Lenny Hayes to have more p's than Banger Harvey

Odds @ $12.40 for $50

Closing Balance $2298

Obviously you spent a bit too much time in the sun and it has affected your reckoning prowess!
But obviously it was worth every cent.

Right on both counts mate. But we fight on

ob- $2298

Bris to win
Eagles to win
Dons to win
Power to win for $200 at odds of $4.7

cb= $2098