Toulouse Lautrec
 

Got fixed odds on him @ $6.50, but he's now into $2.60. Does anyone else race him a strong chanc?

Hi!
Yes but I would keep in mind 6 Utzon , 1 Platinum Scissors
and maybe? 11 Serkelt ??

My favourite horse at the moment, but i can't back him tomorrow at current odds. Its very rare for me to bet below $4.00. Personally I'm on Sportsman at $21.00, but I'm on Toulouse at $34.00 in the Donny.

Well done on the $6.50.

I know its not the 4yo system but what about no 11?

Rates-900-Quality 4yo
 

I have selected him to win

SR8-3 TOULOUSE LAUTREC

Regards
William

i think TL's a special...but he's way to short...he gets back and theres alot of horses in this race that do the same....can't see any real speed up front ...if the backmarkers get in each others road Serkelt could cause an upset..

Looking at Utzon myself.

Main dangers - Utzon + GAbfest
Ouside chance - Kingside

NATURE VET STAKES - 1500M [Group 3] 12 Mar 05 - Rosehill
 

No. Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight

1 PLATINUM SCISSORS Gai Waterhouse D Beasley 12 59
2 THIS MANSHOOD Tim Martin J Sheehan 10 57.5
3 TOULOUSE LAUTREC John Hawkes D Beadman 9 56
4 SPORTSMAN Gregory Hickman H Bowman 3 54
5 GABFEST John Hawkes C Brown 14 52.5
6 UTZON Les Bridge R Stewart 15 52
7 DANIEL'S THE MAN (NZ) Anne-Marie Moller R McLeod 2 52
8 ZINGAM (NZ) Guy Walter J Innes 11 52
9 CASH CARTER Graeme Rogerson J Cassidy 5 52
10 DANCING DAGGERS (NZ) Grahame Begg P Goode 7 52
11 SERKELT Keith Dryden M A Cahill 6 52
12 AMEX Alan Bailey S Moses 4 52
13 KINGSIDE (NZ) Bart Cummings C Munce 8 52
14 RIVER TO THE SEA Diane Poidevin-Laine Dale Spriggs 1 52
15 INTERMOO (NZ) Graeme Rogerson R M Quinn 13 52

Current fixed odds market
 

Horse Win Place

Toulouse Lautrec $2.65 $1.40
Utzon $6.00 $2.25
Kingside $7.50 $2.60
Gabfest $9.00 $3.00
Platinum Scissors $13.00 $4.00
Sportsman $13.00 $4.00
Amex $21.00 $6.00
Daniel's The Man $21.00 $6.00
Serkelt $21.00 $6.00
This Manshood $21.00 $6.00
Cash Carter $34.00 $9.25
River To The Sea $34.00 $9.25
Dancing Daggers $51.00 $13.50
Intermoo $51.00 $13.50
Zingam $101.00 $26.00

Track good, all starting

TOULOUSE LAUTREC seems poor value at the moment (imo) for a horse that's going to get well back in a big field, and at Rosehill. Having said that I'm sure we can all picture this big striding gelding motoring home down the outside like a proverbial train over the concluding stages. But will he get there?
Agree with brave chief - SPORTSMAN. Looks very good EW value. Goes well this track & distance & should be ready to fire at 3rd start after a spell.

My Ratings
 

Tolouse Lautrec $6.33
Sportsman $7.04
Kingside $7.04
Utzon $7.92
Gabfest $7.92
Platinum Scissors $10.56
Cash Carter $15.83
Daniel's the Man $21.11

TL's biggest plus is the fact he has more upward potential than these. I assessed him on his current projected peak of 70, although i think he's a 74 horse at least (hopefully in 2 wks!). But a 70 is a fair estimate 2nd up, anything less and he won't be winning. Utzon & Sportsman have been assessed on 68's. Sportsman gets the ticks due to Bowman, 3rd up and inside gate. Kingside is well weighted for a horse with the potential to rate 67.

Toulouse Lautrec
Utzon
Serkelt
Gabfest

PLATINUM SCISSORS
THIS MANSHOOD
TOULOUSE LAUTREC
GABFEST