ARROWFIELD STUD STAKES- 2000M [Group 1] 19 Mar 05 - Rosehill
 

1 BUT I'M SERIOUS Bob Haire
2 CINCINNATI GAL Noel Mayfield-Smith
3 DIZELLE John Hawkes
4 FIERY SUNSET Gai Waterhouse
5 GLEN SHIAN Cliff Brown
6 HOLLOW BULLET John McArdle
7 JUSTA TAD (NZ) Rudy Liefting
8 LOTTERIA Gai Waterhouse
9 NEVIS (NZ) David Payne
10 THUNDERCLAP Anthony Cummings
11 TUSKER (NZ) Murray Baker

Weights
 

No Horse Trainer Weight

1 HOLLOW BULLET John McArdle 55.5
2 LOTTERIA Gai Waterhouse 55.5
3 DIZELLE John Hawkes 55.5
4 JUSTA TAD (NZ) Rudy Liefting 55.5
5 NEVIS (NZ) David Payne 55.5
6 FIERY SUNSET Gai Waterhouse 55.5
7 TUSKER (NZ) Murray Baker 55.5
8 CINCINNATI GAL Noel Mayfield-Smith 55.5
9 BUT I'M SERIOUS Bob Haire 55.5
10 GLEN SHIAN Cliff Brown 55.5
11 THUNDERCLAP Anthony Cummings 55.5

HOLLOW BULLET
NEVIS
JUSTA TAD
TUSKER

The 2 NZ fillies have genuine EW chances in this race, especially Justa Tad. Rate this filly a tad in front of Tusker. Justa Tad the NZ bloodstock filly of the year has won 5 from 10 (most in group class) and can handle any going. Only a tiny thing she was narrowly beaten 3 starts back over 2000 but won her next start in good style over 2400 (gr1 NZ Oaks). Last start narrowly beaten over 1600 (gr2) after having a short break.

Tusker (a grand-daughter of gr1 Japan Cup winner Horlicks) has won 4 of her past 5 starts. As a matter of interest ran 2nd on debut as a 2yo behind the high class Cheval De Troy. Last start won a gr2 over 2100. Likes to race on the pace and is as tough as they come.

Final field
 

No. Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight

1 HOLLOW BULLET John McArdle G Boss 1 55.5
2 LOTTERIA Gai Waterhouse C Munce 2 55.5
3 DIZELLE John Hawkes 11 55.5
4 JUSTA TAD (NZ) Rudy Liefting L Cassidy 6 55.5
5 NEVIS (NZ) David Payne J Cassidy 10 55.5
6 FIERY SUNSET Gai Waterhouse D Beasley 9 55.5
7 TUSKER (NZ) Murray Baker D Oliver 4 55.5
8 CINCINNATI GAL Noel Mayfield-Smith D McLellan 3 55.5
9 BUT I'M SERIOUS Bob Haire H Bowman 8 55.5
10 GLEN SHIAN Cliff Brown D Nikolic 5 55.5
11 THUNDERCLAP Anthony Cummings 7 55.5

Thanks for that info kiwiz ;) would be backing anyway, but might just increase the wager slightly :)

Current fixed odds
 

No. Horse Win

002 Lotteria $2.65
001 Hollow Bullet $3.75
003 Dizelle $5.50
005 Nevis $7.00
004 Justa Tad $8.00
006 Fiery Sunset $17.00
007 Tusker $21.00
008 Cincinnati Gal $26.00
010 Glen Shian $41.00
009 But I'm Serious $51.00
011 Thunderclap $151.00

Hollow Bullet to win
Glen Shian to place

NEVIS on the improve fought on really well in the Rosehill Guineas last week. Back against own sex and should go very well. EW.

2) Lotteria
1) Hollow Bullet
5) Nevis
4) Justa Tad

Lotteria
hollow bullet
fiery sunset

Box the top 4 and you should be right.
Hollow Bullet to win...

Dizelle e/w
Lotteria
Hollow Bullet

My Ratings
 

Lotteria $1.70
Hollow Bullet $2.43

Current EW fixed odds
 

No. Horse Win Place

002 Lotteria $2.65 $1.35
001 Hollow Bullet $3.75 $1.55
003 Dizelle $5.50 $2.00
005 Nevis $7.50 $2.20
004 Justa Tad $9.00 $2.50
006 Fiery Sunset $21.00 $4.25
007 Tusker $21.00 $5.00
008 Cincinnati Gal $26.00 $6.00
009 But I'm Serious $51.00 $11.00
010 Glen Shian $51.00 $9.00
011 Thunderclap $151.00 $31.00

Market movement
 

No. Horse Was Now

002 Lotteria $2.65 $2.65
001 Hollow Bullet $3.75 $3.75
003 Dizelle $5.50 $5.50
005 Nevis $7.00 $7.50
004 Justa Tad $8.00 $9.00
006 Fiery Sunset $17.00 $21.00
007 Tusker $21.00 $21.00
008 Cincinnati Gal $26.00 $26.00
009 But I'm Serious $51.00 $51.00
010 Glen Shian $41.00 $51.00
011 Thunderclap $151.00 $151.00

LOTTERIA
HOLLOW BULLET
DIZELLE
CINCINNATI GAL

4 JUSTA TAD
1 HOLLOW BULLET
2 LOTTERIA
7 TUSKER

Dizelle
Hollow Bullet
Glen Shian
Lotteria

Track dead, all starting.

Closing fixed odds market
 

No. Horse Win Place

002 Lotteria $2.65 $1.35
001 Hollow Bullet $3.75 $1.55
003 Dizelle $5.50 $2.00
005 Nevis $7.50 $2.20
004 Justa Tad $9.00 $2.50
007 Tusker $21.00 $5.00
006 Fiery Sunset $26.00 $4.25
008 Cincinnati Gal $26.00 $6.00
009 But I'm Serious $51.00 $11.00
010 Glen Shian $51.00 $9.00
011 Thunderclap $151.00 $31.00

Race result
 

04 ARROWFIELD STUD
3YOF STK
2000 Metres
1:40pm
1ST LEG EXTRA DOUBLE


WIN/PLACE
1 4.30 1.70
2...............1.50
4...............2.20

QUINELLA (1-2) 5.60
EXACTA (1-2) 11.20
TRIFECTA
(1-2-4) 71.70
FIRST 4
(1-2-4-7) 402.50

(1) HOLLOW BULLET (G.BOSS)
(2) LOTTERIA (C.MUNCE)
(4) JUSTA TAD (L.CASSIDY)
(7) TUSKER (D.OLIVER)

SCR - NIL

Very nice effort pop, well done!!

My only shinning light of the day...even got $5.50 at the track about this horse...like taking candy from a baby..