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AJC AUSTRALIAN DERBY- 2400M [Group 1] 26 Mar 05 - Randwick
No Horse Trainer Weight
1 A DOLLAR SHORT Graeme Rogerson 56.5 2 ABLE STANDARD (NZ) Bruce Wallace 56.5 3 ACCUMULATE (NZ) Bart Cummings 56.5 4 AL MAHER Gai Waterhouse 56.5 5 BIG HEAD Ian Finn 56.5 6 BINDING John Hawkes 56.5 7 CAPTIOUS (NZ) Mick Price 56.5 8 CHESHIRE (NZ) Graeme Rogerson 56.5 9 CHESS RECORD Gai Waterhouse 56.5 10 CHEVAL DE TROY (NZ) Colin Jillings 56.5 11 COLLATE Allan Denham 56.5 12 CRUMS Gerald Ryan 56.5 13 DAMAZE Bart Cummings 56.5 14 DANEHILL EXPRESS Brian Mayfield-Smith 56.5 15 DIGNITY PRINCE Neil Boyle 56.5 16 DORER Paul Perry 56.5 17 ECONSUL (NZ) Graeme Rogerson 56.5 18 EREMEIN Allan Denham 56.5 19 EXINITE (NZ) Kris Lees 56.5 20 EXPUNGE Mick Price 56.5 21 FLAMING Gai Waterhouse 56.5 22 GIGANTIC (NZ) Peter G Moody 56.5 23 GOOD SAMARITAN (NZ) Anthony Cummings 56.5 24 GRAPHICAL (NZ) Graeme Rogerson 56.5 25 HIGH CEE (NZ) Bart Cummings 56.5 26 JYMCAREW Bob Thomsen 56.5 27 KING JOHNY (NZ) Raymond Connors 56.5 28 LE LOUVRE Bart Cummings 56.5 29 MASTER STRATEGY Bede Murray 56.5 30 MATADOR Gai Waterhouse 56.5 31 MONTERRICO Gai Waterhouse 56.5 32 NO WINE NO SONG Bob Thomsen 56.5 33 OH CANADA Guy Walter 56.5 34 OL' JOCKO Gary Portelli 56.5 35 OPINION POLL (NZ) Tony McEvoy 56.5 36 OUTBACK PRINCE Anthony Cummings 56.5 37 PARMAR DAY Peter G Moody 56.5 38 PINAKAHARI Gai Waterhouse 56.5 39 PURE SILENCE Lee Freedman 56.5 40 QUETZALCOATL (NZ) William Reading 56.5 41 RAILINGS John Hawkes 56.5 42 RED ZULU Kevin Moses 56.5 43 RENEWABLE (NZ) Graeme Rogerson 56.5 44 RESTLESS WIND Ron Quinton 56.5 45 ROVING OWL (NZ) Noel Mayfield-Smith 56.5 46 RUSSIAN CHARM (NZ) Ron Quinton 56.5 47 SAACHI Kevin Moses 56.5 48 SAVABEEL Graeme Rogerson 56.5 49 SLY DOG Rod Byrnes 56.5 50 SPIKES John Hawkes 56.5 51 STELLA GRANDE Lee Freedman 56.5 52 SVENSKA (NZ) Graeme Rogerson 56.5 53 TAISHO Greg Kennedy 56.5 54 TIRADE Gerald Ryan 56.5 55 TRISTO Peter G Moody 56.5 56 TULLY SPUR Matthew Hyland 56.5 57 ULYSSES Tony McEvoy 56.5 58 WESTERN BEAU Marc Conners 56.5 59 WINDON Neil Godbolt 56.5 60 XCELLENT (NZ) Michael Moroney 56.5 61 YOUTHS EDGE Tony McEvoy 56.5 62 ZANKEL (NZ) Brian Mayfield-Smith 56.5 63 NEVIS (NZ) David Payne 54.5 |
Current EW fixed odds - < 100/1
XCELLENT $2.50
CHEVAL DE TROY $5.00 EREMEIN $7.00 RAILINGS $8.00 RENEWABLE $9.00 AL MAHER $11.00 JYMCAREW $13.00 DANEHILL EXPRESS $15.00 KING JOHNY $15.00 NEVIS $15.00 HIGH CEE $17.00 ECONSUL $21.00 OUTBACK PRINCE $21.00 SAVABEEL $21.00 PINAKAHARI $26.00 STELLA GRANDE $26.00 CHESS RECORD $31.00 MATADOR $31.00 MONTERRICO $31.00 PARMAR DAY $31.00 CAPTIOUS $35.00 WESTERN BEAU $35.00 ACCUMULATE $41.00 FLAMING $41.00 PURE SILENCE $41.00 RESTLESS WIND $41.00 SVENSKA $41.00 TRISTO $41.00 ABLE STANDARD $51.00 COLLATE $51.00 DAMAZE $51.00 DORER $51.00 GOOD SAMARITAN $51.00 RUSSIAN CHARM $51.00 SAACHI $51.00 ZANKEL $51.00 EXPUNGE $61.00 GRAPHICAL $61.00 NO WINE NO SONG $61.00 |
Final field
No. Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight
1 OUTBACK PRINCE Anthony Cummings D Dunn 56.5 2 EREMEIN Allan Denham C Brown 56.5 3 JYMCAREW Bob Thomsen G Boss 56.5 4 XCELLENT (NZ) Michael Moroney 56.5 5 STELLA GRANDE Lee Freedman D Beadman 56.5 6 WESTERN BEAU Marc Conners D Nikolic 56.5 7 SVENSKA (NZ) Graeme Rogerson D Beasley 56.5 8 KING JOHNY (NZ) Raymond Connors L Beasley 56.5 9 TAISHO Greg Kennedy 56.5 10 SLY DOG Rod Byrnes C Rixon 56.5 11 RAILINGS John Hawkes 56.5 12 HIGH CEE (NZ) Bart Cummings D Oliver 56.5 |
Current fixed odds
No. Horse Win
004 Xcellent $2.50 002 Eremein $4.50 001 Outback Prince $6.50 005 Stella Grande $6.50 008 King Johny $9.00 003 Jymcarew $15.00 006 Western Beau $34.00 007 Svenska $51.00 010 Sly Dog $51.00 011 Railings $51.00 012 High Cee $51.00 009 Taisho $101.00 |
I would happily take the top 4 for a first four. Not neccesarily in that order.
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* Top four in the odds
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the Form around Xellent is good...and proven over here,,,,should win this easily and am shopping for some decent odds....2.50 is overs against this field,
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XCELLENT to be ridden by M T Coleman
TAISHO to be ridden by L Cassidy RAILINGS to be ridden by R M Quinn |
Current fixed odds
No. Horse Win
004 Xcellent $2.50 002 Eremein $4.50 001 Outback Prince $6.50 005 Stella Grande $6.50 008 King Johny $9.00 012 High Cee $13.00 003 Jymcarew $15.00 006 Western Beau $34.00 007 Svenska $51.00 010 Sly Dog $51.00 011 Railings $51.00 009 Taisho $101.00 |
Market movement
No. Horse Was Now
004 Xcellent $2.50 $2.50 002 Eremein $4.50 $4.50 001 Outback Prince $6.50 $6.50 005 Stella Grande $6.50 $6.50 008 King Johny $9.00 $9.00 012 High Cee $51.00 $13.00 003 Jymcarew $15.00 $15.00 006 Western Beau $34.00 $34.00 007 Svenska $51.00 $51.00 010 Sly Dog $51.00 $51.00 011 Railings $51.00 $51.00 009 Taisho $101.00 $101.00 High Cee a big firmer |
My Ratings
Eremein $2.00
Xcellent $4.00 Stella Grande $10.00 Outback Prince $10.00 King Johny $20.00 The top 2 picks look to have a clear form edge here. Both have projected peaks of 71. Difference between the two are Brown v Coleman (gotta admit I know nothing of him) and gate 3 v gate 10. Eremein gets all the ticks for mine. Has had a perfect prep; only beaten by fitness at Canterbury, dominant at Rosehill with a 67 rating (wait till he produces his 71), and is drawn to get the run of the race. Stella Grande & King Johny can improve and both are probably better chances than the raitngs suggest. |
Xlent looks good but i'm un willing to take the odds..not sure of the jockey or whether the horse can handle such a race and the track conditions..
to many minuses for me... Might have an eachway on Outback prince who was only a few lenghts off the mighty mare mast time...has to be the best form line around here.. |
Current fixed odds
No. Selection Win Place
004 Xcellent $2.65 $1.35 002 Eremein $5.00 $1.80 001 Outback Prince $6.50 $2.10 005 Stella Grande $7.50 $2.30 008 King Johny $9.00 $2.60 003 Jymcarew $11.00 $3.00 012 High Cee $13.00 $3.50 006 Western Beau $34.00 $7.50 007 Svenska $51.00 $11.00 010 Sly Dog $67.00 $13.50 011 Railings $67.00 $13.50 009 Taisho $101.00 $21.00 |
who riding Jymcarew ?
glen boss? |
ah he should win =]
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Market movement
No. Selection Was Now
004 Xcellent $2.50 $2.65 002 Eremein $4.50 $5.00 001 Outback Prince $6.50 $6.50 005 Stella Grande $6.50 $7.50 008 King Johny $9.00 $9.00 003 Jymcarew $15.00 $11.00 012 High Cee $13.00 $13.00 006 Western Beau $34.00 $34.00 007 Svenska $51.00 $51.00 010 Sly Dog $51.00 $67.00 011 Railings $51.00 $67.00 009 Taisho $101.00 $101.00 |
2 EREMEIN
4 XCELLENT 8 KING JOHNY 12 HIGH CEE |
I have a major concern with Xcellent. I watched his win LS and it was a nice win, and I was beginning to get impressed seeing as it was a group 1 WFA, when I noticed something odd: Lashed came third.
Lashed wouldn't come third in a PROPER group 1 in Australia if there were only three runners. This is a major concern. |
One other thing - what's wrong with Outback Prince's chances? He finished 4.5 lens off the world's greatest stayer last start....
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eremein
xcellent stella grande outback prince |
(4) XCELLENT
(1) OUTBACK PRINCE (7) SVENSKA (9) TAISHO |
3) jymcarew
4) Xcellent 2) Eremin 5) Stella grande |
Xcellent is a real spanner in the works here. Have no real gauge on how it will travel.
Outback Prince, I think might be suited to maybe a shorter distance. Don't forget she rolled Dance Hero over 1400, and also beat a fast finishing Eremein. Jymcarew has the Glen Boss Factor. Never discount. Eremein it will be. Unless the Kiwi says otherwise. |
(12) High Cee
(2) Eremin (3) Jymcarew (4) Xcellent |
Xcellent will win this with a leg in the air.Four starts wins,2 of those at G1.Last start beat St.Reims,which is no slug on its day,and Lashed.No disrespect Duritz,Lashed is not a genuine G1 nag,but she has run a couple of placings behind Starcraft!!!!IMO none of our 3yos can stay.No such thing as a racing certainty,but this one looks ************ close for mine.IMO it should be evens,so having my biggest hit of the year thus far.Go you good thing!!!
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Yeah I agree on the query our horses to stay. Outback Prince had the run of the race in the BMW last start and had definitely had enough on the line.
The one who will stay is Eremein, IMO. Strong at the end LS and I think it will go better again at the longer trip. I'll be backing it because I think Xcellent will be too short and therefore provide value. |
1] OUTBACK PRINCE
3] JYMCAREW 5] STELLA GRANDE 4] XCELLENT |
High Cee to be ridden by N.Callow
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Track slow, all starting
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Stella Grande
King Johnny Eremein Outback Prince |
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STELLA GRANDE
KING JOHNY EREMEIN WESTERN BEAU |
HIGH CEE
EREMEIN XCELLENT JYMCAREW |
What an absolute, utter pathetic joke that Kiwi was. But no, I was stupid enough to listen to the experts and chuck it in as a quinella with Eremein. Jeez that was poor.
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Put it down to an absolutely horrific ride...M T Coleman- useless as are most NZ Jockeys.
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06 DAVID JONES
AUSTRALIAN DERBY 3YO 2400 Metres 3:15pm 2ND LEG EXTRA DOUBLE 1ST LEG QUADRELLA WIN/PLACE 2 4.90 2.10 5...............2.10 11..............16.40 QUINELLA (2-5) 15.10 EXACTA (2-5) 30.60 TRIFECTA (2-5-11) 1,606.80 FIRST 4 (2-5-11-8) 9,473.30 EXTRA DOUBLE (8-2) 24.60 SPECIAL DIV. (8-SCR) 5.00 (2) EREMEIN (C.BROWN) (5) STELLA GRANDE (D.BEADMAN) (11) RAILINGS (R.M.QUINN) (8) KING JOHNY (L.BEASLEY) SCR - NIL Quadrella Sub = 4 |
Quote:
Looked ok in the 8th. |
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