Lay The Favourite Contest
 

Following on from the Lays Of The Contest, intend running another one if there is sufficient interest.

This one will resolve around laying the favourites.

The rules are simple:

Eight favourites, based on the pre-post markets, will be nominated from which contestants have to nominate three (no more, no less) that they think will lose.

As in the previous contest, returns will be based on official SP's.

The contest will start this weekend, and i will nominate the eight favourites by 2pm tomorrow (Friday).

This week's favourites:

Track Race Horse Pre-Post Price
W.Farm Race 4 No Penalty $1.80
W.Farm Race 2 Caught Courting $2.30
W.Farm Race 5 Silver Fun $2.40
Doomben Race 2 Hit The Road $2.50
Doomben Race 4 Hissy Fit $2.50
Caulfield Race 8 Middlemarch $2.75
Doomben Race 5 Octanee $2.90
Doomben Race 7 Star Of Florida $3.50

Could contestants please nominate four horses with one being labeled as an emergency, in case of scratchings.

No Penalty
Silver Fun
Middlemarch

Caught Courting
No Penalty
Silver Fun

All Sydney for me.

Caught Courting
Silver Fun
Hit the Road

Cheers,
H.

HIT THE ROAD
NO PENALTY
CAUGHT COURTING

Hit The Road
No Penalty
Hissy Fit

Middlemarch
Hit The Road
Octanee

Middlemarch
Hissy Fit
Silver Fun

Mark has hit the lead after the first round of the Lay The Favourite Contest, being only one of two contestants to end the day in the black. All contestants found at least one winner amongst their selections.

Name Return
Mark $21.00
Feather $16.50
Chuck -$16.50
Goldcoaster -$21.00
La Mer -$37.00
Heavyweight -$95.00
TestaRossa -$125.00

Yeah that ************ Silver Fun won by an inch, and wasn't even favourite!

This week's races follow - as there are a number of pre-post favourites that are quoted at the same price, I've included eleven from which to choose from. Remember, any three (no less) of those listed can be chosen with a sub if you wish:

Track Race Horse Pre-Post Price
Cheltenham 1 Royal Image $3.50
Cheltenham 3 Crevette $2.00
Cheltenham 4 Squillani $3.30
Cheltenham 7 Prior Knight $3.30
Eagle Farm 1 Latin Lover $3.50
Eagle Farm 2 Virage De Fortune $3.50
Flemington 2 Pure Harmony $3.50
Rosehill 1 Bahia $1.70
Rosehill 5 Triple Dee $3.50
Rosehill 6 Havana Wind $1.80
Rosehill 8 Radetzky March $3.50

SR1-Bahia
SR2-Havana Wind
MR2-Pure Harmony

Quite a few scratched today La Mer.

AR3 Crevette
AR4 Squillani
SR6 Havana Wind

Four scratched, and they were mostly the good "lays".

From what's left:

Crevette
Squillani
Pure Harmony

Cheers,
H.

SR5-2 TRIPLE DEE
AR4-1 SQUILLANI
BR2-9 VIRAGE DE FORTUNE

Thank heaven I put up eleven races. What I'll do from now on, is include at least ten races, if not more.

Flemington 2 Pure Harmony
Cheltenham 4 Squillani
Cheltenham 7 Prior Knight

Pure Harmony
Triple Dee
Havana Wind

After week 2 of the Lay the Fav Contest, Feather takes over the lead, while TestaRossa made up a lot of ground.

Name Return
Feather $81.50
Mark $39.00
Chuck -$4.00
Goldcoaster -$21.00
TestaRossa -$39.00
La Mer -$62.00
Heavyweight -$92.00

Week 3 of the Lay The Favourite contest and this there are 14 races to choose from.

Track Race Horse Pre-Post Price
Caulfield 1 The Boot $2.10
Caulfield 2 Cocinero $3.50
Caulfield 7 Perlin $2.20
Randwick 1 Impatient Star $2.80
Randwick 2 Spirit Of Tara $3.50
Randwick 3 Wasimah $2.50
Randwick 5 Stylish Bow $2.50
Randwick 6 Britt's Best $2.80
Doomben 3 Maizcay Magic $2.10
Doomben 4 Mameluke $2.80
Doomben 5 Any Suggestion $3.30
Doomben 6 Octanee $2.60
Doomben 7 Catreign $3.00
Doomben 8 Shilo $3.30

Hi La Mer

I'm going away this weekend so I'll get the lays in early.

SR2 1 Spirit Of Tara
SR1 2 Impatient Star
SR6 3 Britt's Best

& emergencies in order...

BR3 2 Maizcay Magic
BR7 2 Catreign
BR8 9 Shilo
SR3 1 Wasimah

Hopefully that will be enough.

Perlin
The Boot
Stylish Bow

Hey Chuck just wondering what made you lay Perlin, the performance of the horse itself or the other horses in the race i.e. mummify?

Cheers

yeah, i think Mummify is a class above... $2.20 is way under the odds for a horse who had a good run against an ordinary field last start on a heavy track, has drawn barrier 12 and is up against the Caulfield Stks and Caulfield Cup winner. Rule One of racing: Never ask a horse to do something it has never done before. I know mummify gives him 8.5 kilos, but the 3 kg weight relief with the apprentice jockey will help. Perlin is a proven Open Handicap horse, Mummify is a proven Group 1 horse, and a difference of 5.5 kilos doesn't justify the class difference.

Yeh. The short quote for perlin means there may be a juicier price on offer for mummify. It is a horse that can 'carry weight' and i think that is something i think some people are forgetting. It was the same story with Roman Arch a couple of weeks ago. I got something like $7 which is absurd, all because people were like, he can't win with the weight.

MR2-1 COCINERO

SR6-3 BRITT'S BEST

BR5-1 ANY SUGGESTIONS

SR1-1
BR4-7
SR6-3

Impatient Star
Britt's Best
Catreign

Cocinero
Britt's Best
Mameluke

Cheers,

H.

Randwick Race 6: Britt's Best
Doomben Race 4: Mameluke
Doomben Race 4: Any Suggestion

i don't know how i came up with the horse numbers....just take notice of the races ( SR 1, BR 4, SR6 ) Looks like it was only SR 1 horse number i stuffed up
Thanks....sorry for the stuff up

After week 3, Mark still leads from Feather & Goldcoaster.

Name Return
Mark $95.00
Feather $63.00
Goldcoaster $36.50
TestaRossa $20.50
La Mer -$4.00
Chuck -$111.00
Heavyweight -$118.00

Always thought I was good at picking losers!

The list of races/favourites for week 4 of the Lay the Favourite contest follow:

Track Race Horse Pre-Post Price
Hillside 1 Activation $2.80
Hillside 7 Perlin $2.20
Rosehill 1 Kingcharm $2.80
Rosehill 2 Anwaar $2.50
Rosehill 3 Bargerton $2.50
Rosehill 4 Zumanity $2.80
Rosehill 5 Triple Dee $2.80
Rosehill 7 Bold Matador $3.00
Doomben 7 Takeover Target $2.80
Doomben 4 Foolish $3.00
Morphettville 6 Merlot Now $2.00
Morphettville 8 Prior Knight $2.80

SR1-1
SR4-5
BR4-2

SR3 3 Barberton
AR6 1 Merlot Now
SR4 5 Zumanity

reserves
SR1 1 Kincharm
AR8 1 Prior Knight

SR3:Barberton
SR4:Zumanity
SR7:Bold Matador

Cheers,

H.

SR3- BARBERTON
SR4- ZUNANITY
BR4- FOOLISH

Bold Matador
Foolish
Takeover Target (Still be Cheering for him, however head says its a good lay)