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-   Horse Race Betting Systems (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=10)
-   -   Some Simple Systems (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=31713)

sportzRus 13th June 2018 08:28 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
Back any fav 1st or 2nd up

would also give consideration fav 3rd up

darkydog2002 13th June 2018 11:27 AM

8 or less runners.

Fav @the jump.

Vortech 13th June 2018 04:55 PM

What you sometimes find is although the favourites get up in smaller fields more regularly, the average dividend is a lot less making the overall profit is the same.

Shaun 13th June 2018 05:45 PM

I am now looking at laying favs for the place if under 1.40

thorns 13th June 2018 06:19 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
I am now looking at laying favs for the place if under 1.40

Good luck, its ************ hard work trying to get them to show a profit, I cant get the penny to drop here. I can break even but just cant get them onto the good side. Like everything, you have a nice run of lay wins, then a string of 20 odd get up and burst your bubble taking any profit along with it.


Definitely not impossible, and i'll be envious if you can crack the code!
Have spent far to many hours trying myself.

Mark 14th June 2018 09:00 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by thorns
Good luck, its ************ hard work trying to get them to show a profit, I cant get the penny to drop here. I can break even but just cant get them onto the good side. Like everything, you have a nice run of lay wins, then a string of 20 odd get up and burst your bubble taking any profit along with it.


Definitely not impossible, and i'll be envious if you can crack the code!
Have spent far to many hours trying myself.


Surely not thorns. You already have the code.

thorns 14th June 2018 10:26 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mark
Surely not thorns. You already have the code.


Yes good point, I guess I should have said, standing individually to turn a profit is hard work.

Shaun 14th June 2018 11:04 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by thorns
Good luck, its ************ hard work trying to get them to show a profit, I cant get the penny to drop here. I can break even but just cant get them onto the good side. Like everything, you have a nice run of lay wins, then a string of 20 odd get up and burst your bubble taking any profit along with it.


Definitely not impossible, and i'll be envious if you can crack the code!
Have spent far to many hours trying myself.


If i could get my hands on some reliable betfair data i could better back test it, using Tab prices isn't the same even in the place market.

Chrome Prince 15th June 2018 11:05 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
If i could get my hands on some reliable betfair data i could better back test it, using Tab prices isn't the same even in the place market.

Reliable is the key word here Shaun. For some reason betfair data contains prices for horses that were scratched, and not just late scratchings way too often.

demodocus 16th June 2018 04:34 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
If i could get my hands on some reliable betfair data i could better back test it, using Tab prices isn't the same even in the place market.

There is a problem with using Betfair prices. The SP doesn't usually match the price that the horse was actually bet at ..... it's simply the 'last price matched'. If you look under the LHS tab on Betfair you can see the span of matching.


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