Meadows Saturday Night
 

Interesting race. no doubt the #6 has a lot of ability, but it finds a lot of trouble. but with the #4 squashing the inside dogs at the start, it should create some good space for the outside dogs.
#2 has been suffered a lot of interference last two starts and has managed some very good 2nd sectionals just needs clear space early.
#5 form looks poor but has had no luck in running, looks likely to improve.
#8 form is poor, tailed off last start, only given 5 days vet cert. doesn't add up, but loves the #8 box will provide some real value in the exotics
#6,2,5,8
would love the #5 or #8 to get up, as the 2,3,6 will tie up a lot of $'s in the markets
Race 4
1 5.267
2 5.171
3 5.189
4 5.173
5 5.259
6 5.180
7 5.286
8 5.270
1st splits
split probabilities
Box 1st Split Rating Rank
1 $22.96 5
2 $3.99 2
3 $4.78 3
4 $3.66 1
5 $44.54 6
6 $5.22 4
7 $108.11 7
8 $200.00 8

One for WARRNAMBOOL
 

RACE 8

7 ASTON ELLE $1.9
6 KREUZER ON FIRE $6.2
8 ARVO'S JOSIE $10
3 SOOKIE $14
2 SPECIAL DUTIES $16
5 GRANT BALE $30
1 DAYS OF STEAM $40
4 ARVO'S GOTCHA $50

WOOF43
 

In Race 10 there is an animal named BELKIN BALE.

What is your conclusion regarding the animals TRUE ODDS.
Obviously it is the best animal in the Race , but it can't be 10's on.
What decides what Odds it should be tonight?
Do you think its Starting Price will be an accurate assessment of its TRUE ODDS?

THE MEADOWS

RACE 3

5 DYNA KATE $3.3
7 AUTOAMERICAN $3.4
2 KARANJI $8.2
1 PROVEN MEAD $12.8
4 ALLEGRA'S SUNSET $13.6
9 LASTING EFFECT $15.6
3 RATTLING RUBIE $33.6
8 STENWICK $34.2



RACE 4

6 BLACK DODGE $3.7
3 SHAMUS O'JAR $3.8
7 MYSTERIOUS LOLA $8.0
2 MOLLY MOLLOY $8.8
8 WILD ARMS $11.5
4 SPIRITUAL ONE $17.3
5 PROVEN PUZZLE $17.6
1 ZLATAN $46.7



RACE 5

4 DYNA ERINA $3.1
1 EURICO BALE $3.9
5 DYNA DARA $4.7
6 FLIP BALE $16.8
8 DYNA DEARY $16.8
7 LAURIE VALENTINE $17.8
3 PROVEN CUE $66.2
2 BACK PAGE LEAD $80.4



RACE 6

1 EASY PEASY $2.4
8 STACK 'EM FLAT $3.4
7 PREMIER BOLONEY $11.5
4 KIALDU ANNA $15.6
2 BARRIQUE $17.1
5 STETSON LILY $36.9
6 BLACK VIKING $37.6
3 INDEED I DO $45.0



RACE 7

4 DAINTREE ROCKET $3.6
6 HAFREN BALE $5.8
7 TANIA TWO SHOES $6.8
8 RICH SHIRAZ $8.0
1 LE PIPPY $10.3
5 BOGGY SPITFIRE $10.6
3 GREYWINDS DAN $16.7
2 SMOKIN' GONZALES $36.0



RACE 8

2 REWIND $2.5
3 HUTMAKER $3.9
1 DYNA LOWELL $11.1
8 UP AND AWAY $11.1
4 SHINTARO SAMURAI $12.7
6 WARNING LABEL $27.5
7 AMERICAN MCGEE $35.5
5 RYKER BALE $50.7



RACE 9

7 BULLICOURT DYLAN $4.0
1 PILLOW TORQUE $4.6
2 SELECT BREAKER $6.5
5 BEES KNEES $8.4
4 SHOW ME HOW $10.4
3 PENSKI ILLUSION $13.8
6 TIMBO $17.9
8 MAGIC PENSKI $28.8



RACE 10

6 BEKIM BALE $1.3
3 BLACK HOMBRE $9.3
4 NUMERO UNO BALE $16.9
7 MARTILI BALE $34.3
5 WALTER BALE $125.0
1 AMADO $150.0
10 WHERE'S LUKE $800.0
2 DOC'S DISCIPLE $1,000.0



RACE 11

4 PROVEN MADDY $3.9
2 ENTICE ME JULIET $4.6
7 LEKTRA JOHNSON $6.0
5 KON TIKI $7.5
8 CHICAGO $9.8
3 LEKTRA BILLY $16.3
6 ALL INN BRADY $22.5
1 AUNTY CHOPPER $50.5

Race 5
 

1 5.118
2 5.255
3 5.377
4 5.240
5 5.261
6 5.336
7 5.239
8 5.226
Split Probabilities
Box 1st Split Rating Rank
1 $3.52 1
2 $7.42 3
3 $4.97 2
4 $17.38 7
5 $10.71 5
6 $29.28 8
7 $13.16 6
8 $8.41 4
#1 looks to lead clearly, except it heads for the outside at box rise, then you have the #2,3,5,6,8 all wanting to head to the rails. So it needs to lead clearly to win, it's not an overly strong dog so any interference will take it's toll. #7 is drawn where it wants to be is a plus for it..
Back the #1 to win if you secure a nice price, then have a lot of dogs in flexi Tris' and F4 incase of interference and a longshot gets home

yep I'll give you some figures later on in the night.

Race 10
 

1 30.693
2 30.945
3 30.475
4 30.305
5 30.634
6 29.824
7 30.565
8 30.964
The #6 is a centre/wide runner which is normally the case for the best of the best. #7 wants the rails, but it doesn't really push hard to the rails.
Their not a fast beginning group in this race so the #6 lack of real early dash shouldn't be a worry.
Its price well just looking at it's win efficency, it's been an overlay up to date at the prices it's paid on the tote, just about say's it all

WOOF43
 

I'm having a very good run since I mentioned to you Woof43 about the Anomaly Nick thing you sent me.

Do you think my good fortune is due to the roller coaster ride of the way wins and losses occur , or do you think I have improved the accuracy of My Markets?

I really don't recall doing so well in the previous couple of years or so.
I'm still backing Losers , but The Voucher seems to be climbing steadily in the last week.

I have noticed a strange thing about Anomaly Nick , maybe the one what you suggested.
I could have an animal that is assessed at say $30 , but if one of its runs was just a tenth of a second slower , it can become no possible Chance of winning.

BEKIM BALE
 

OUCH!!! :(

Need a good result in the last to repair Major Damage.

Never seen it so far out the back door, even past the 700 boxes I was thinking this dog is ********** and not showing anything.
Got home ok