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POT or ROI???
Are these 2 the same thing or are they different?
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Another One
When you wish to post the Average Odds , how do you calculate that? Is it adding up all the Starting Prices of the selections divided by the number of selections , or is it something else like adding up all the winning selections and dividing by the number of winners , or something else again? |
Researching this topic only last week, found this thread
http://www.propun.com.au/racing_for...read.php?t=3702 |
Just found it 2 minutes before I read your post Rhinoman :)
Thanks though. |
With your second question your second option was correct, add up the prices of all your winners then divide this amount by the total wins.
Lets say i had 20 winners and there combined win prices equaled $80 $80/20 = average price $4.00 Some people will also remove the highest priced and lowest priced winner and divide the total remaining by 18 this would only need to be done if you had 1 large priced winner. I think there is a formula for taking in to account the high and lower prices but i can't remember where i seen it. |
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So this should be factored in? If so, why? thanks |
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Is prolly a standard deviation sort of thing to allow for Wild outliers should there be any. |
Say you have a series of 10 wins from 30 races and 9 of the wins are priced at $2.50 but the tenth win is priced at $15
9 x $2.50 = $22.50 1 x $15 - $15 Total $37.50 /10 = average $3.75 If you used this average as a long term idea that you system could stay in profit you would be in trouble because you are relying on your system that produced a profit from one good return. |
Understand Shaun, but then how do you work out your more realistic average odds, ignore that entry altogether? & how do you decide on what is a more than above average return, especially if you have a few of them over a reasonable period?
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Once you have a significant amount of selections , then the impact of the top and bottom Odds has much less impact.
I don't know if the Average Winning Odds is as important as the POT and Strike Rate. |
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