Odds On Value?
Testing a strategy with odds on favourites for the win and place, I am testing whether getting on early will be profitable. Here are the selections for today:
Date Track Race Tab Horse Win Place 21/07/2024 Curragh 1 8 Red Letter $1.66 $1.12 21/07/2024 Curragh 6 4 Jackie Oh $1.90 $1.30 21/07/2024 Stratford 5 2 Brave Knight $1.36 $1.12 21/07/2024 Stratford 8 1 Ronnies Rules $1.53 $1.10 21/07/2024 Newton Abbot 1 2 Golden Path $1.61 $1.20 |
Lucky I took best odds guaranteed as many of them drifted.
Here are the results (hope it formats okay) Selections 5 Win S/R 60.00% Win Return $5.15 Win Profit $0.15 Win POT 3.00% Winners 3 Place S/R 60.00% Place Return $3.34 Place Profit -$1.66 Place POT -33.20% Placings 3 |
Just the one selection for today:
22/07/2024 Cartmel 3 9 Jolie Coeur Allen $1.72 $1.12 |
Quote:
Jolie Coeur Allen ran 6th after blowing out to $2.10 :( Selections 6 Win S/R 50.00% Win Return $5.15 Win Profit -$0.85 Win POT -14.17% Winners 3 Place S/R 50.00% Place Return $3.34 Place Profit -$2.66 Place POT -44.33% Placings 3 |
Tonights selections:
23/07/2024 Lingfield 8 7 Rich Pulls Pitch $1.83 $1.40 23/07/2024 Musselburgh 5 2 Union Island $1.52 $1.22 23/07/2024 Ballinrobe 8 1 Base Of Fire $1.83 $1.25 23/07/2024 Wolverhampton 1 1 Take A Pull $1.66 $1.30 |
Cumulative total results:
Selections 10 Win S/R 50.00% Win Return $8.20 Win Profit -$1.80 Win POT -18.00% Winners 5 Place S/R 60.00% Place Return $7.26 Place Profit -$2.74 Place POT -27.40% Placings 6 Only down 1.80 units so far. |
Catterick 1 5 Easy Peeler $1.83 $1.36
Naas 7 3 Power Under Me $1.83 $1.33 Salisbury 3 1 Dream Voyage $1.44 $1.06 Salisbury 6 7 Godsend $1.72 $1.16 |
Cumulative total results:
Selections 14 Win S/R 64.29% Win Return $15.10 Win Profit $1.10 Win POT 7.86% Winners 9 Place S/R 71.43% Place Return $12.17 Place Profit -$1.83 Place POT -13.07% Placings 10 Finally in the green for the win. The strike rate is fairly low for the odds at this stage, so I would expect a further upturn in results overall. |
Selections for tonight:
Sandown 2 10 Ruling Court $1.66 $1.16 Worcester 5 3 I'm Ravenous $1.50 $1.12 Leopardstown 2 2 Bedtime Story $1.11 $1.02 Newbury 2 3 Glistening $1.80 $1.20 |
Lost a llittle last night:
Results Selections 18 Win S/R 61.11% Win Return $17.87 Win Profit -$0.13 Win POT -0.72% Winners 11 Place S/R 77.78% Place Return $16.67 Place Profit -$1.33 Place POT -7.39% Placings 14 |
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