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-   Horse Race Betting Systems (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=10)
-   -   Back those first up winners (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=31284)

JB1 19th June 2017 07:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Neil
This betting system operates on Saturdays and major public holiday meetings at Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane.

Here are the rules.

1. The horse is first up from a spell of at least 2 months.

2. It has a winning strike rate of at least 25% and a first up winning strike rate of at least 50%.

3. That makes it a bet - for this system ignore 2YO and jumps races.

One of my systems is very similar (has a couple of extra filters) but I'm including midweek metro. Also including 2yo races, but only during the period Jan 1 thru Jul 31. Same for 2yo races for some other systems I use.
Working for me

kumite 28th June 2017 08:01 AM
think the first up winning strike rate benchmark is set too high
would set an initial filter to a lower mark, like 33%
then have a bit of a look at the qualifiers
they could have a strong first up record without necessarily winning at least 50%

watsonnek 8th July 2017 10:25 AM
Wouldn't restrict to just Sat / PHols
Struck a few longshots myself on other days

Sands 13th July 2017 11:28 PM
Caulfield, 15 July, R7 Supido

kiwiz 16th August 2017 05:15 AM
Hey Doc,,winner Flemington Saturday,,looks like he qualified

kiwiz 27th August 2017 04:24 AM
Bonny O'Reilly,,winner Rosehill Saturday,,looks like she qualified

kiwiz 2nd September 2017 05:34 AM
Merchant Navy looks like a qualifier
R4 Caulfield today

grizzle 18th September 2017 07:25 AM
redkirk warrior, royal symphony, larlabrook, viridine, sweet embrace & silvera, all won for me

kiwiz 25th September 2017 04:19 AM
Final Salute,,winner Belmont Saturday,,looks like he qualified

kiwiz 25th September 2017 04:28 AM
Dream Finnish,,winner Belmont Saturday,,looks like she qualified


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