OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums

OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/index.php)
-   Horse Racing (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=5)
-   -   Stable Runners (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=21393)

Shaun 14th April 2011 11:36 PM

Stable Runners
 
I have long seen the benefits of following runners but some of the draw backs are when to start and stop following, what horse should i follow and having the bank to follow them.

The bank is interesting because some would think it is the same as day to day punting but this is not the case because if you choose to follow only a few horses you could become bored with the lack of action.

On the other hand following to many horses could dry up your bank waiting for the wins.

I am going to start a stable of runners adding new runners when they come along, i have a set of rules for picking these runners to try and avoid long outs, i will also use a black book service and post when they are due to run again after selection, i have created a mini data base to hold the info and will be staking these runners for 10 starts to a price of 3/1 that means if at any time they win and pay better than $4 i will profit.

Most of the selections will be backed from a spell until they win then will be dropped.

max 15th April 2011 08:19 AM

Sounds good Shaun. I am keen to see how these go as I think runners are good to follow, especially for a set and forget punter like me who likes to set the bets in the morning and see how they went at the end of the day.

Shaun 15th April 2011 12:01 PM

Below is the format i will be listing the runners for the stable, as i said i will be Backing for 10 starts and staking to a $4 price this involves 27 units to start 10 or until a win.

There are a few runners to start but i will slow up as we move along.


Stable

Code:
Danagaze Fab Fevola Faster Son FillyDelphia Herculian Prince Niblick Niwot Rhythm Of Dance Thankgodyou'rhere

Racing

Code:
April 16 DANAGAZE DOOMBEN R1 No.6 (1200m)1 unit FAB FEVOLA DOOMBEN R3 No.5 (1020m)1 unit FASTER SON DOOMBEN R6 No.4 (1200m)1 unit FILLYDELPHIA DOOMBEN R7 No.16 (1350m)1 unit NIBLICK FLEMINGTON R5 No.4 (1400m)1 unit NIWOT FLEMINGTON R6 No.6 (2000m)1 unit RHYTHM OF DANCE RANDWICK R2 No.8 (1200m)1 unit HERCULIAN PRINCE RANDWICK R5 No.2 (2000m)1 unit THANKGODYOU'REHERE RANDWICK R8 No.13 (1100m)1 unit RHYTHM OF DANCE RANDWICK R9 No.17 (1400m)1 unit

max 15th April 2011 04:52 PM

what staking plan are you using?

So each horse is staked separately?

max 15th April 2011 04:57 PM

You have Rhythm of Dance twice

Quote:

RHYTHM OF DANCE RANDWICK R2 No.8 (1200m)1 unit
HERCULIAN PRINCE RANDWICK R5 No.2 (2000m)1 unit
THANKGODYOU'REHERE RANDWICK R8 No.13 (1100m)1 unit
RHYTHM OF DANCE RANDWICK R9 No.17 (1400m)1 unit

Shaun 15th April 2011 06:14 PM

Unless it is ************ Pharlap i don't think it will run in both races so it will be scratched from one.

That info is sent via a black book service so i posted what they sent me.

Yes each horse is independent of the others.
The staking as i mentioned in the other post is betting to a price of $4 so we will follow each runner until it wins or reaches 10 starts placing a stake each run to return losses plus a profit if the horse pays $4 or more, here is the full stakes of the series.

1 1 1 1 2 2 3 4 5 7 total 27 Units

max 15th April 2011 06:16 PM

Thanks Shaun

Will be following keenly.

Shaun 16th April 2011 09:26 AM

I am going to revise the staking after today as i think following for 10 starts is far to much, the way i see it most horses show form by the 5th or 6th run from a spell and if we have this as a cut off then the stakes are not to high and can be recovered by other winning selections at a higher price.

Shaun 16th April 2011 09:56 AM

This is the new staking i will use.

1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 6.0
This reduces the price needed to between $3 and $4 also reduces the total to 19 units over 7 races

Shaun 16th April 2011 05:15 PM

Winners
Code:
Danagaze +3.13 Niblick +8.55 Niwot +6.34


These 3 are now removed from the stable


All times are GMT +10. The time now is 08:59 AM.

Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.