Strike rates
 

I recieved an email that stated they get an 80% strike rate from 6 rated selections. On the other hand, I rate 2 or 3 races and take the top 5 or 6 according to the ratings, but I get only 16% strike rate.

Can someone clear up the confussion.

Mad Gambler.

Mad Gambler, you are probably calculating the strike rate of winners to selections whereas they are referring to strike rate of winners to races?

Their strike rate of 80% means that they pick the winner of eight out of ten races from the top six selections. If you are not achieving a comparable strike rate then I suggest you change to a new ratings provider.

Wun

They're not trying to sell you a system for $5000 by any chance?

If so - Run.

I can acheive a strike rate of 75% winners to races with top 5....problem is as always what to do with your top 5 horses...if you backed them all you won't win....the best thing to do is take your top 5 and back anything paying more than $5 this should be about 3 selections a race

The same sort of results can be gained by using pre post prices.

I'd study their respective average win dividends before outlaying any hard earned.

I'd also try to find out if they have a field size restriction on their selections and or how they do in the bigger fields,any mug can have an 80% strike rate from 6 selections in a small field.

Either way you still need to eliminate some no hopers to turn a profit.

why bother with any of these 'services'?

true enjoyment of the punt comes with the genuine satisfaction experienced when, as a result of your own hard work, you start to get it right more often than you get it wrong, something methinks that can never be experienced by paying for ones selections.

I'm going to shop around for the best prices and see if I can make a profit as I have several online accounts with several bookmakers.

Just a thought. What do you guys think?


Mad Gambler

To make a small fortune, start with a large one thats how i think of these services. Id rather do it myself, and like davez said its more enjoyable knowing you picked the winner yourself.

But your money, your choice. Just hope its the right one.

Heres a plan that gets 100% SR

Target the top 7 TAB Nos in 7 horse fields .
Jokes aside.

One would acheive a high SR targeting the top 7 TAB Nos in races with 8-13 runners .

One idea would be to bet all the runners paying $5.00-25.00 at jump time among those 7 runners.

If one were to consider this approach , watch out for those days where the Fav decides to get up all day.

Best to cherry pick ones races where the Fav has a good chance of falling over . e.g. target races where the pre-post Fav is exactly the same Wt. as last start , these have a habit of not getting up one after the other after the ****** other , which is what you want. We dont want the Favs winning too often, if following this simplistic idea.

Cheers.

Here are the last 2 months results from backing 4 horses in the same race. Sydney metro only on saturdays.

there were 72 races for 47 winners from 270 selctions. It made a loss of $87.00 at level stakes.

At the moment I'm looking at several ideas at improving this selection method, so that I can make a profit. I'll let you all know the results of my research.

Mad Gambler