Amended Metro System
 

Metropolitan Races Only
TAB Number: 1 - 7
Weight to Carry: 53.5 - 58.0
Career Starts: 8 - 21
Last Start Finish Posn: 1 - 3
Win S/R >24.99%
Distance Winner
Track Winner

Any result input would be greatly appreciated

Just go to http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
and you will see how you can obtain an inexpensive program which will give you the answers you need.

Moderator.

Day of Week: 7
Venue: SMBAW
Horse Win %: 25 - 100
Career Starts: 8 - 21
TAB Number: 1 - 7
Weight to Carry: 53.5 - 58.0
Last Start Finish Posn: 1 - 3
Won or Okay at Distance: Y
Won at This Course: Y

Over the past two years (Saturdays only) there were 580 races, with a winning S/R of 26% and a POT of 5.5%

If you have a minimum distance of 1200m, the POT improves to 13%

If you have a minimum price of $3, the POT improves to 21%

If you have "metro last run" as well, the POT improves to 28% (343 races)


Monkeyinjapan

Might be on to something there Panther. As long as you are happy with 3 to 4 bets per week.

And if the strike-rate is dropped to 20%, along with the changes above already recommended, then the POT improves to 32% (408 selections for 104 winners).

DATA BASE
 

I have the data base that MODERATOR 3 Mentions and it is very ,very good.

I am extremely pleased with it.

Cheers.
darky.

A little more tweaking and the strike-rate rises to over 40%, but I'll keep tweaking to see if the method can be further improved.

duck
 

keep that pot going up la mer and you will gang tackled before you no it...

...............cheers..........slowman............ .........

Actually, I meant to say that the POT rise to over 40%, the strike-rate also rises but not as high as I stated, the correct strike-rate is 28.4%.

After tweaking all the criteria one way & the other & introducing one addiitional, I've come up with the following as probably be the closest to the optuim:

Race Distance: 1200m- 3200m
Day of Week: Saturday
Venue: All Metro venues
Horse Win %: 22%-100%
Career Starts: 4-18
TAB Number: 1- 7
Weight to Carry: 54.5kgs-57.0kgs
Last Start Finish Position: 1st-3rd
Won at Distance
Won at Course
Metro run @ Last Start
Max Last Start Beaten Margin: Less than 6 lengths
SP Price: $ 2.0-$21.0

It is worth noting that had the SP price been open, that is no upper limit of $21, the profit as indicated below would have been a lot higher, as the two largest priced winners started @ $46 & $33, which represteted approx 45% of the overall profit. The largest priced winners included in the results is $18.

WIN PLACE
Races Bet: 322 321
Races Won:105 195
S.R./Race: 32.6% 60.7%
Outlay ($): $355.00 $354.00
Return: $467.10 $363.70
$ Profit:$112.10 $9.70
% POT: 31.6% 2.7%

If anyone is interested, I can supply a slightly different criteria with a higher strike-rate, but with reduced profit & turnover.