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-   -   G'day everyone (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=13053)

Mick73 7th April 2006 02:00 AM

G'day everyone
 
Hello everyone,

I've been perusing this forum for a while now and think it's great. The ideas presented here are quite interesting and a good read.

I'm interested in the statistical side of punting and was wondering if anyone here could direct me to, or provide me with some stats.

Just to save me going through results on the TAB site and copying them to excel. Yes I know I'm lazy!

Basically what I'm after is:
- horse number # that most frequently wins (mode)
- radioTAB tip that wins the most frequently (eg. no.1, no.2 or no.3 selection)
- and the above for greyhounds

Percentages as well would be a bonus!

Any help would be greatly appreciated for my experiments!

Cheers, Mick73

Bhagwan 7th April 2006 02:34 AM

Horse TAB No.1 wins approx 20%
Radio TABQ 1st-20% 2nd-15% 3rd-10%
Dogs Box 1+8 approx 17% each

Cheers.

crash 7th April 2006 04:45 AM

Hi Mick,
Welcome aboard. Here's the most important stat. to keep a note of in your wallet and at the very forefront of all other stats you pick up [or purchase]: .......95% of punters lose.

Cheers,
Crash

darkydog2002 7th April 2006 08:24 AM

MICK 73.
 
As your interested in the statistical side of punting my experience has been that Malcolm Knowles of inracing is invaluable here.

Alternatively you could purchase a reasonably priced data base such as "RACE CENSUS"( advertised on this site )and run as many bits of "what Ifs"through that.Its a hell of a lot of fun and explodes many of the punting myths that plague the industry.

Cheers.
darky.

downbylaw 7th April 2006 08:00 PM

A search show nothing on "race census" do you have a link darky?
Thanks

darkydog2002 7th April 2006 08:42 PM

downbylaw
 
Look under 'WANT A WINNING BETTING SYSTEM"- under poster STICKY.

Cheers.
darky.

partypooper 7th April 2006 11:10 PM

Mick 73, sorry for digressing, but that stat from Bhagwan has me intrigued, i.e. No 1 has 20% Strike Rate, but surely the ave. no of runners is far more than 5??? i.e. 1 out of 5??

What about no 1s' in handicaps only?

marcus25 8th April 2006 07:27 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
Mick 73, sorry for digressing, but that stat from Bhagwan has me intrigued, i.e. No 1 has 20% Strike Rate, but surely the ave. no of runners is far more than 5??? i.e. 1 out of 5??

What about no 1s' in handicaps only?

Hi party! I have 103138 raceresults in my database and out of this, tab no. 1 only won 16038 times. That is just under 16%.
Tab no. 2, 13762
Tab no. 3, 12060
Tab no. 4, 10733
Cheers

partypooper 8th April 2006 10:30 AM

Marcus25, thanks for that, nearer 1 in 8 is that handicaps only? even so sounds like the basis to start something off, i.e. apply filters etc. considering that the handicapper has already rated it on top!

marcus25 8th April 2006 10:52 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
Marcus25, thanks for that, nearer 1 in 8 is that handicaps only? even so sounds like the basis to start something off, i.e. apply filters etc. considering that the handicapper has already rated it on top!

Party, if I look only on handicap races then the outcome is:
Races 59815
No1 wins: 10261
No2 wins: 8644
No3 wins: 7408
No4 wins: 6463
Slight improvement for no1
Good luck


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