Rosehill
race 5 # 3 Midnight Avenue
race 6 # 5 Stormcat Academy
race 7 # 7 Dow Jones
race 7 # 10 Arigato
race 7 # 14 The Little Tacker
race 8 # 2 Caissa
Doomben
race 2 # 2 Gullcatcher
race 3 # 1 Icy Pride
race 6 # 8 Coolawin

bet wise bet smart

Surely you jest when you tip Stormcat Academy to beat Lonhro!!!!

Racing's history is littered with "certainties" that didn't win first up.

I'm not putting a case for the specific horse selected, but one way of making money is to occasionally back the winner at big odds, when the odds on certainty loses.

With popular opinion saying Lonhro is past the winning post before the race is run, I am pretty sure this will result in odds about it under the horse's true winning chances.

I think Ancient Song is a special

Lonhro cannot possibly win this.

Looks to be a very open race. Should get some good overs, with Lonhro very likely to start at odds well below true winning chance.

_________________
All the best from the West

Sandgroper :smile:

[ This Message was edited by: Sandgroper on 2002-08-03 09:38 ]

I tend to agree about Ancient Song. Although I wouldn't call it a "certainty". I'd rather be on this around 8/1 than Lonhro @ 4/6.

Good Luck Wise One

I agree with your tips in Race 7, although I like Musical Beat as well.

My Rosehill tips are:

R1. #1 Penny Opera
R2. #4 Russell On
R3. #6 Size her up
R4. #4 Binnia Best
R5. #2 Master Pom & #6 Via Sinai
R6. #4 Sportsbrat (with lonhro & haha in trifectas and F4s)
R7. #6 Musical Beat
R8. #10 Abeel Hostess

I will be having most of the above as a standout with the field in each race. Its amazing how many good quinellas you can win doing that (thank you "Coincidence" in Brisbane during the carnival - nice quinella of over $600 as the second place getter was at $200/1, bet cost about $8). Having said that, I probably won't win a cent today!!

Anyway, good luck everybody and Wise One I'm sure you'll get a lot more for a place on Stormcat Academy than Lonhro will pay for a win - makes more sense to me.

I am more than willing to cop the mocking, insults and ridicule that should come my way if i'm wrong, but i reckon the only question that needs to be asked is Lonhro, how far?
In saying that, he will be far to short for my liking.

Its great to see the differing opinions.But really how can anyone say that Lonhro cannot possibly win? For what its worth I have Lonhro as the likely winner but at 5/2 not long odds on. Ha Ha 4/1 Padstow5/1 and Ancient Song at 9/1. I agree that there is likely to be value as Lonhro will be unders and we all know whatever our opinion on any single race. You cannot win taking unders.