PLACE BET ON FAVS = WIN
 

How hard is it to pick 3-4 good things per week, which are odds-on favs,
paying around $1.30 the place? Not too hard.

All-up them.

$1000 becomes $2856.00.

Or does that sound too easy?

Of course how do you know they are good things? With no thought at all
the odds-on fav will place 75% of races. With some thought & common sense it should get up to around 90%.

Any thoughts people?

Buck, you dont know fulltimepro by anychance do you?

I did notice that one afterwards. No I don't know him, i guess we have
similar views. I'm not offering any service, i just think its a solid way to profit.

or this for your all ups !
 

100 place on a fav, comes in at 1.3,
shove the 100 back in your pocket and play the all up with the 30

Clearly its been discussed before so forget i posted.

Not bad dingo, a safer alternative.

Youngbuck,

If you can get a good score picking 2nd.3rd. or 4th fav. for the place you can make a steady earn. Firstly you need to spot what will most likely start as favorite, as that is the horse you don't want your bet to be on. Then decide which of the the others I've mentioned has the best chance of winning and then back it for the place. If you start looking for what you think can place rather than win, it's goodnight Irene. The show is over as you will be amazed at how many 'good place prospects' won't place. Your looking for good win prospects and among those 2nd.3rd. or 4th. favorites are good place prices compared to their win SP. Beyond 4th. fav. the place price generally becomes poor value.

Problem with odds-on favorites or even short prices favorites is that the place price is very volatile and you would not know what it is going to pay until after the jump. 2nd.3rd. or 4th favorite prices are far less volatile and you would be looking to be in the $1.60 to $2.60 place price range or $2 average. Sometimes you will end up on the SP favorite by default, but not very often.

Score 3 out of 5 average with the above method and your making money. Throw in a small win component along with your place bet and 2 out of 5 placed on average with make money [3 out of 5, serious gravy], because some of those will win by default [if they can place, they will also get up and win about 1 out of 5 to 7 races]. Looking for 2 out of 5 for the place with a small win component [I use 1x6 ratio] is easier to do that 3 out of 5 average for the place alone. I've been doing exactly that for the last month or so and it has been working a treat. Looking for 3 to 5yr. old horses in fields of 8 to 14 max. with good jockies and trainers is a good idea worth remembering.

If you can succeed with the above method[s], then start thinking exotics perhaps. If a punter can't win money with simple bets, they have no hope of staying in front with any type of exotic bet.

Crash,

Thanks for the advice, I will take it all on board.

or......wack a thousand the place on the fave and walk away with $300 extra in your wallet - no further risk - profit locked in.