NO BRAINER REVISITED
 

Thought I might revisit this system of mine and tweak it a bit. It must be getting on to 3yrs old and the original rules have performed well during the off again, on again periods I have used it and also for someone here who has used it since day one I think.

Like all systems, this one has had it's 'outs' and a couple of those [happens to all systems] will see the system dumped and punters move on to the next shinny thing, so I'm not bothered about it ruining odds if it proves successful. Nor do I believe in the conspiracy theory that good systems are stolen and sold, as considering the amount of free systems around from many sources [profitable systems too], anyone who pays for one nowadays has a cog loose.

The main rule changes here are an up/down in weight rule and a modified barrier rule to cover leaders, on-pacers and mid-pacers [barrier 1 to 9] and back-markers [barrier 3 or more]. Not much point backing a leader from barrier 14 or a back-marker in barrier 1. If you don't know the running style of a horse stick to the barrier 1 to 9 rule and keep your fingers crossed.

I thought I might try this with an e/w angle: $1w x $6p and see how things go.

........................................No Brainer revisited........................................
No Hurdles, Maidens, 2yr. olds, Stakes, Group or Cup races.
1. Must be 5yrs. old or less.
2. Add placings last 4 starts. Total must be no more than 9 [0 or S =10].
3. Last start must have been 21 days or less.
4. Barrier 1 to 9 only or if back-marker, barrier 3 or more only.
5. Must not be up more than 3kg or down more than 4kg. [ignore allowances].
7. Must have won in conditions.
8. If won last start, must have 20% or better WSR.
9. Morning line odds between $2.50 and $7
Bet: $1w x 6p

Selections below: After horse's age there is days since last run, type of runner [L leader, P on-pacer, M mid-pacer, B back-marker], average earnings and SR.
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Fri. 30th.
BATHURST
r7/6 2113 Stop 'n' Go (2)" M A Cahill 54.0 dn 2.5 5/m 11 M 963 18% 37%
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Sat. July 1st.
CHELTENHAM PARK
r4/2 1251 Aptitry (5)" Ryan Maloney (a 1.5) 55.5 dn 1.5 3/g 19 B 3511 25% 50%
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FLEMINGTON
r3/2 1132 Saliente (7)" D Oliver 54.5 dn 4.0 3/g 17 L 4459 27% 54%
r5/4 3111 Blutigeroo (9)" D Gauci 55.0 up 2.0 4/g 21 B 5526 35% 58%
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BELMONT PARK
r2/ 2131 Hail Halo (6)" 54.5 dn 1.0 3/g 10 M 2473 20% 80%
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ROSEHILL
r6/2 1211 Taken At The Flood (4)" J Innes 56.0 up 1.5 4/g 14 L 9264 28% 56%
r8/6 2121 With A Chance (4)" G Buckley 54.5 dn 2.0 4/g 19 L 6894 56% 81%
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I will adjust these later for track condt. and PP odds if required.

Cheers.

You mentioned track conditions Crash, are we looking at wet tracks everywhere tomorrow? Had a quick look at the weather map, not looking good.

Your right mate, condt. will see some of the above ruled out.

Bathurst is 'slow' but the above selection for today has won in the slow.

But hasn't won in the 'heavy' which is now showing for Bathurst.

Ran 3rd [NTD], but no selection anyway. Tomorrow looks dubious on most tracks.

Tracks aren't going to be as wet as we first thought!

Sat. July 1st.
CHELTENHAM PARK
r4/2 Aptitry unp.

FLEMINGTON
r3/2 Saliente $1.60p
r5/4 Blutigeroo $1.40p

BELMONT PARK
r2/3 Hail Halo $1.50p

ROSEHILL
r6/2 Taken At The Flood
r8/6 With a Chance $3.60w $1.70p

w/ol $6 w/r $3.60 p/ol $36 w/r $37.20
t/ol $42 t/r $40.80 loss $1.20

Considering the dodgy weather with rain and gale force winds at some venues [not sure if these runners had won previously in the 'eventual' condt. at their venues at starting time], I'm quite happy with the results so far. No damage done.

Sund. 2nd. July

BOWRAVILLE [good]
r7/1 3211 Future Funds (9)" N Seymour 57.5 dn 1.5 3/g 8 M 2168 29% 58%
--------------------------------------------
HOBART [fine/dead]
r7/2 1123 Granite Hill (9)" D M Ganderton (a 3.0) 56.5 dn 0.5 3/g 7 L 3452 31% 81%

No joy. This is probably one of those 'murphy' situations that immediately you put up a system that has been doing well things go pear shaped. Can't believe Sund. selections never even placed. Even the tipsters had those 2 on top to win.

Only 1 today.

Mon. 3rd.
Wagga
r8/3 2412 Copy City (11)" M A Cahill 55.5 dn 3.0 4/g 9 M 1183 25% 58%