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-   -   Statistics on 100 Raters vs Relative Barrier Positions (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=14349)

wesmip1 19th August 2006 03:39 PM

Statistics on 100 Raters vs Relative Barrier Positions
 
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All, Here is a quick table that shows the POT of positions relative to the outside barrier. 100 would mean the outside barrier. 10 would indicate the inside barrier.The position is determined by dividing the barrier of the horse by the field size (where barriers have been adjusted for scratchings). Its very interesting to see the outside barriers produce a much better POT.

For All Horses rated 100 for the last 3 years:

punts2 22nd August 2006 05:16 AM

Any chance you could drill-down sprint Vs middle distance wesmip1?

crash 22nd August 2006 05:57 AM

Outside barriers can be a good earn, especially if it has a backmarker in it [Ice Chariot's two group wins at Brisb. were a standout from outside barriers for those who knew it was a backmarker].

To narrow things down a bit more as to where you plonk your hard-earned, just check out the outside barrier horse's history [you all know where but I can't mention the name of the site] and see where it usually is on the turns in it's past races and which barriers the horses wins came from mostly. If it has been running from inside barriers for it's last couple of starts and loosing and now find itself in an outside barrier, the odds will be good because it will be in the perfect barrier, yet few punters will know it.

If it gets back and wins mostly from the outside[ish] barriers, it's a backmarker [basically, avoid leaders from outside barriers and backmarkers from inside barriers]. Blindly backing outside barrier runners that might have a leader or on-pacer in it, is like backing horses running in glue-on shoes. A waste of good betting money..

punts2 22nd August 2006 07:14 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by punts2
Any chance you could drill-down sprint Vs middle distance wesmip1?



Also checking if stats included any track condition or (E.G.) just tracks rated fast / good? Thanks.

YoungBuck 22nd August 2006 07:52 AM

Crash
 
Any chance you could email with that site with barrier history? Would be greatly appreciated. djcaulfield@bigpond.com

Thanks in advance.

wesmip1 22nd August 2006 05:01 PM

punts2,

Will try to get it down soon. Got a few other things on at the moment.

Thanks


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