When do you Bet?
 

My question out there to all is when do you bet?

I have just come off one of the best days of my punting career and have found that i tripled my profit due to punting away from the tab and when markets first opened on friday morning.

I am speaking about Wonderful World-Red Dazzler double and each horse individually. I placed with my mate colin (most will no who i refer to) on fri morning at the very juicy odds of 45-1. Sure enough they both come in and i'm laughing all the way to the bank. I got Red Dazzler at $6 and wonderful World at $7.50 and $2.50. Whilst i know i am spruiking these winners, some of the other winners one could have got was $2.50 on Miss Andretti, $8 Growl and i am pretty sure $4.50-$5 amerryking. That is massive overs compared to what you could have got on raceday.

Just wondering if others agree or not, and i know there are lot of things that happen between Fri Morning and when they jump and i have been burnt (scratchings refunded) a couple of times with the weather, but i have found the odds are so great early especially on the top couple in market it is too hard to ignore.

I personally do not bet that way... but it seems a fine way to me... One thing tho, is the betting all in? If it is, you would want far better odds than what is available on race day.. other than that, it seems like a great way to get best odds. The other thing, is what market % are you betting in to? While the odds you quote are good, (for your runners) obviously if the market is set to a high %, other favoured horses will be well unders.. as will the outsiders of the field... and the odds not so good

Cheers

No. Once the field has been decided, you get a refund if your horse is scratched.

$8 Growl great value,, quite obvious this horse was going to be well suported come race day. These are the types of races where you should be jumping nice and early especially when your top rater is rated on top clearly..

$2.50 Miss Andretti ,,i would have waited for this one..she was droping from 1400m so i would have been hoping this would turn the punters off her and on the LetGo Thomo ,Jack or Nedyims Glow...wasnt the case as she was obviously to classy for them..

I suppose you have to take into account if there might be a spruik horse that the moring tipsters have flogged to death,,,or if your horse is going to be that spruik horse and analyse the odds from there....

I get on nice and early for the big ones..La Montagna 26's Straddie,,,have ElSegundo 11's and 7's Cox,,but after last week im alittle worried about that one..

Usually on Saturdays we have 3 online accounts and the option on course as well,,,,this usually means we get the best odds available...but after looking at the odds you got last week you have me very interested in the Friday market...

TAB Sportsbet actually open up the markets on Thursday afternoons soon after acceptances. Even earlier, when they take early acceptances for the big group 1s as they did last week.

I agree that you can certainly get some good odds. My only problem is that it usually takes me until Saturday morning to work out what I like and by then, the value has gone.

That is plain theft. To be offering those odds on the Friday before is quite unbelievable!

I don't know if Growl has any chance in the Caufield Cup, but I got a future on him at 151-1 about 5 days ago. He is now at 7-1 after his good race.

Regards,

Glenn

He's certainly got a good chance alright. Don't know how he was 150-1!!! :eek:

I don't know if Growl has any chance in the Caufield Cup, but I got a future on him at 151-1 about 5 days ago. He is now at 7-1 after his good race.


10Oct06 10:23:17 AM
RACES GROWL
CAULFIELD Oct 21 2006 12:00AM 1.00 Futures Win @ 151.00


Am I misunderstanding it?



Regards,

Glenn

I'm not doubting you Glenn. I just don't know what the bookmakers were thinking putting him out at that price. Obviously, he had to win on Saturday to even get in the race, but considering his form, he shouldn't really have been any more than about 40 or 50-1. So you did very well.