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leroy 22nd October 2006 04:01 PM

won last 2 starts
 
hey Wesmip, can you test this please?

won last 2 starts
uni-tab rating 88-95 incusive

thanks
Leroy

wesmip1 22nd October 2006 07:04 PM

Leroy,

Never a problem to test something out.

Won last 2 starts and rating 88-95 gives a return of 70% for win and 77% for places over 2064 selections.

Won last 2 starts and rating>95 gives 86% for win and 91% for place over 3714 bets.

Won last 2 starts and rating=100 gives 90% for win and 93% for place over 1645 bets.


Hope that helps out.

Keep them coming ...


Also I wrote the code yesterday to grab radio tips so I have started getting them and should have them up to date this week. So if you want to include that in your method you can.



Good Luck

leroy 22nd October 2006 07:15 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by wesmip1
Leroy,

Never a problem to test something out.

Won last 2 starts and rating 88-95 gives a return of 70% for win and 77% for places over 2064 selections.

Won last 2 starts and rating>95 gives 86% for win and 91% for place over 3714 bets.

Won last 2 starts and rating=100 gives 90% for win and 93% for place over 1645 bets.


Hope that helps out.

Keep them coming ...


Also I wrote the code yesterday to grab radio tips so I have started getting them and should have them up to date this week. So if you want to include that in your method you can.



Good Luck
thanks woth trying.
Is it possible to add same distance as last start too ?
and maybe same track condition aswell ?
win and place.
And can you run it for won last 3 starts too please?
thanks again
Leroy

Bhagwan 23rd October 2006 07:43 AM

Hi W,
Could you please test what the SR % is for the 3 Radio tips 1st tip, 2nd tip, 3rd tip % individually if possible.
And possoibly thr ROI.
For distance exactly 1600m please.

Thanks very much.

wombathq 23rd October 2006 09:36 AM

Hi Wesmip Would you mind contacting me using email address listed below
Many thanks

go4it 23rd October 2006 12:20 PM

Wes,

Can you test this one please mate?

1)Last start beaten fav

2)Must be clear PP fav again

3)Must have finished within 3 lengths of winner last start

4)Must be racing within 15 days(inclusive)of last start

5)No distance change beyond 200mtrs up/down

Cheers

wesmip1 23rd October 2006 03:52 PM

Quote:
Is it possible to add same distance as last start too ?
and maybe same track condition aswell ?
win and place.
And can you run it for won last 3 starts too please?

Using last 2 starts both wins and rating = 100 as it gave better results in all cases.

Same Condition : Win returns 85%, place returns 93%
Same Distance : Win returns 83%, place returns 92%
Same Distance and Condition : Win returns 79%, place returns 94%

Using last 3 starts as all wins and rating = 100

Same Condition : Win returns 90%, place returns 101%
Same Distance : Win returns 97%, place returns 114%
Same Distance and Condition : Win returns 87%, place returns 120%

Good Luck.

wesmip1 23rd October 2006 03:56 PM

Quote:


Could you please test what the SR % is for the 3 Radio tips 1st tip, 2nd tip, 3rd tip % individually if possible.
And possoibly thr ROI.
For distance exactly 1600m please.


Bhagwan,

1600m for Radio Tips :
Radio Tip 1 : 27% SR - 86%ROI
Radio Tip 2 : 17% SR - 79% ROI
Radio Tip 3 : 13% SR - 73% ROI

I only have 674 radaio tips at this stage at that distance but I will have a lot more when I finish getting all the data, I will let you know if there is any major changes in SR or ROI.

Good Luck.

wesmip1 23rd October 2006 04:02 PM

Quote:
1)Last start beaten fav

2)Must be clear PP fav again

3)Must have finished within 3 lengths of winner last start

4)Must be racing within 15 days(inclusive)of last start

5)No distance change beyond 200mtrs up/down

Everything but PP fav again as I don't keep PP.

Returns 80% win and 85% place over 10101 bets.

leroy 23rd October 2006 04:21 PM

Thanks wes,

in regards to won last 3
100 raters
same distance and conditions
place return 120%
is that all field sizes or just those races with 3 divs?
if it's all field sizes, can you run it for those with a 3rd div please?
and what is the s/r and number of bets please?

Cheers
Leroy


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