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-   -   Winner Per Venue Plan (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=15526)

Bhagwan 3rd March 2007 01:34 PM

Winner Per Venue Plan
 
There is a lot to be said for stopping at each venue once a winner is struck & there are a number of plans based around this concept.
So heres another one.

1)Target the top 2 selections from your favorite tipping source.
e.g. UniTAB, DFS, SKY channel tipsters (available online) ect.

2) Of the 2 top selections, bet the one that has the best Wt Rating as per UniTAB.
e.g. 100pts over 91pts.
If a draw , bet both . (Rare)

3)Stop at the first winner each venue may produce.
It becomes very hard to hit 2-8 winners per venue on a consistant basis.
Thats why we target just 1 winner per venue.

4)Target races 1-4 only.
These have shown to have a strong SR & minimises possible damage.

5)Level stakes betting 1:50 ratio.

It has a solid level stakes profit so far.
So lets see what happens next.
I will post the days results for a short time , just for interest sake using
$100 bets with a $5000 bank.
Lets see if we can lose the lot.
I will use the UniTAB RadioTAB selections for ready convenience.

It is not uncommon to hit 8 winners from 8 venues.
The good thing about this, is that there is no form to study .
It's primitive & could be affective.

The plan does take discipline to stop after each win per venue & discipline is something that not many punters have.
So please be aware of those feelings that can come up to us all, to keep on betting at that venue after a winner, when maybe we should have stopped.


Cheers.

Bhagwan 4th March 2007 02:30 AM

Sat 3rd Mar Results

7 from 24 races = 29% SR

$100 per selection
Ret $2480
O/L $2500
Loss -20

Bank now $4980

Divs $1.60 2.30 3.40 5.80 5.80 2.80 3.10 = 24.80

Lets see what happens tomorrow.

Merriguy 4th March 2007 12:18 PM

Interesting --- as are all your posts. Thanks, Bhagwan.

Bhagwan 4th March 2007 10:21 PM

Dat 2
Results Sun 4th

5 from 28 =18% SR

Ret 1350
O/L 3000
Loss -1650

YTD
12 from 52 = 23% SR
Ret 3830
O/L 5500
Loss -1670

The other selection decided to get up all day, which can happen.

Bhagwan 5th March 2007 09:08 PM

Day3
Mon 5th

3 from 12 = 25%

Ret 740
O/L 1200
Loss -460

YTD
Ret 4570
O/l 6700
Loss -2130

15 wins from 64 = 23%

Another day where the worst rated decided to get up.

partypooper 6th March 2007 01:59 AM

G'day "B" I have incredible results along these lines . stopping after 2 winners, but that is Perth only so don't know about Eastern States, would be very interested in the results from anyone that has em'??? by the way "Happy New Year" (a bit late as have been spending my cash in the Philippines for the last 3 months) ......... now no-more cash!!!!!!!

Mancunian 6th March 2007 10:31 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan
Day3
Mon 5th

Another day where the worst rated decided to get up.
G'day BW
Your previos plan "Take the money and run" hasn't been going too bad yesterday for comparison purposes and using RadioTAB tips the outcome was

Ararat out $200 return $280,
M'brook out $200 return $340,
Sapphire Cst out $400 return $500,
Geraldton out $200 return $360.
Total for the day out $1000 return $1480

For those that can't remember it was vrtually the same system but taking the worst rated of the 2 top selections - see thread 1 Feb.... cheers..manc

Bhagwan 6th March 2007 11:28 PM

Thanks for your input Mancunian.

Ones has got to have a laugh at some of the results based around betting the best form between 2 horses.

One would naturaly assume the better rated horse, worked out with sophisticated computer programs would have the edge .
But in the last few days it has decided to favour the poorer rated horse , funny that.

But the possitive thing to get out of it , is how many winners come from the top 2 selections , they are very good , some selections that win have never had a race before & they selected it .
Their SR in the first 4 races is approx 45%
So I guess all one has to do is have a simple plan of separating them.
Stopping at the first winner for each venue.

It appears to be swings & merry go rounds . What works well one week, falls in a hole the next. Then comes good the following week.
That's the pleasure & pain of punting I guess.

I havent lost the total bank yet so I will continue showing the daily results of betting the horse with the better UniTAB Wt rating.

Cheers.

Bhagwan 7th March 2007 12:02 AM

Day 4
Tues 6th
Ret 830
O/L 1000
Loss - 170

Divs $3.40 2.80 2.10

YTD
Ret 4370
O/L 7700
Loss 3330
18 from 64 = 24% SR

Once again , the lower rated horses got up. Funny that, ya have got to have a laugh at that.

Betting the horse with the worst rating is looking good because one of the 2 horses is getting up & it's not the one with the better rating.
16.7 bets to bank bust.

Maybe someone out there has a Neurals rating , races 1-4, that they may like to share for separating the top 2 salections which has shown some promise.
Surley! it can do better than this.

Cheers.

Bhagwan 8th March 2007 02:39 AM

Day 5
Wed 8th
4 from 10 = 40% SR

Ret 1040
O/L 1400
Loss 360

YTD
Ret 5410
O/L 9100
Loss 3690

SR 22 from 78 = 28%


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