system test...$100,000
 

Hi guy's...I tried posting this before but didn't work I'll try again now.

The system rules:

1. Selection must not be older than 5 years of age
2. Selection last time raced within 7 day's ago
3. Jockey riding selection must be in the top 5 on premiership table
System only was used on Saturday meetings at Adlaide, Melb, Syd Brisbane metro tracks.

I paper tailed this system for 6 months and it made around $100,000 but due to other commitments could not continue (don't know how it would turn out with real cash???) and I was wondering if there is anyone on this forum who has the resources to test this system out for a longer period than I did. Hypothetically, I started with $1000 and bet 5% of the bank to achieve the amount stated above. Look forward to your response.

$100K... must be SOME other commitment
 

Just looking at those system rules my guess is that 5% of your bank will kill you.

$1000 [5% bets] into $100,000 in 6 months [?]

Result for 22 Sep 07
CAULFIELD
r5/11 x212 Gran Sasso (6)" M Rodd [unp]
r7/3 1x90 Wonderful World (4)" L Nolen [3rd. 3.90p]
EAGLE FARM
2/5 0x44 Vainroc (4)" A Pattillo [unp]
3/1 2284 Life's Short (5)" A Pattillo [2nd 1.90p]
MORPHETTVILLE
Nil Qualifiers

It's only 1 Sat. but, O/l $200 approx, Return Nil.

Just ran the System rules with slight modification ( To restrict to SR, MR, BR, AR Saturdays only) and I don't have a running table of Jockeys in top 5 so I juyst chose a those from the current top 5 list on ************ website...

As per most systems the ROT is approx 86% using Unitab figures.

Good Luck.

Thanks for running the test wesmip1. What period of time did you run it for? What strike rate did you achieve? It usualy used to give a winner every 6 to 7 selections, but thats not to say it's going to do that now. My records for the 6 months was 36% strike rate.

Crash...not good this week end, eh? Perhaps it will pick a winner next week and put the balance into profit...I hope! ha ha ha.

Angry pixie...I hope that is not the case, but with all staking plans I guess it's all a matter of consistancy of selections and most importantly value dividends...only time will tell, eh?

Thanks again for your responses guys.

I was thinking that 86% ROT for such a simple system was pretty good actually, especially at Unitab prices, but one thing that puzzles, lcm123, you say that you achieved 1 winner in 6 or 7 (about 14%) yet you go on to say that you achieved 36% S/R?? not knocking just confused?

lcm123,

That test was over 3 years of data. The Strike rate was 17%.

Good Luck.

I thought ROT of approx 86% pretty good.

With a few simple filters it could be improved no doubt. I'd change the 'within 7 days' to exactly 14 days only [14 days is always a better turn-a-round than 7 days]


1. No 2yr. old races or Maidens, Cups, Stakes or Group races.
2. Distances from 1100m to 2220m on Dead or better tracks only.
3. Selection must not be older than 5 years of age
4. Selection last raced exactly 14 day's ago only
5. Jockey riding selection must be in the top 5 on premiership table from any state.
6. If more than 1 selection ignore race.

Hi Partypooper...I was going on memory of the strike rate, but I searched around the house and finally found the records of the system test...I'm actualy glad you brought it up because, I'm sorry and embarrassed to say I made a stupid MISTAKE. I discovered that the system that I tested (back in 2002) that made $100,000 was actually used with another system and results are from both...sorry about that.

When I started this thread I forgot that I used both together...sorry again. I separated the two systems and ran it again on it's own...found that for the 6 months, the system (mentioned in this post) actually produced $28,492...which isn't to bad. Sorry again for the stuff up guys.

Heres the results:

64 selections for 23 wins
strike rate 34.93%
longest loosing run was 9.

Slight change in rules:

1. No 2yr. old races or Maidens, Cups, Stakes or Group races.
2. Distances from 1100m to 2220m on Dead or better tracks only.
3. Selection must not be older than 5 years of age
4. Selection last raced 14 day's ago or less
5. Jockey riding selection must be in the current top 5 for the track.
6. If more than 1 selection chose the higher rated jockey.

Ballarat today. 3 selections for 2 wins:
5/5 Spinning Lady 11.60w
8/5 Moment of Truth 3.70w