DRUNK and DUMBER System Trial
 

Have a look at these tomorrow based on my theory that drunk winners and desparate losers, dumb bets (all ups..where in my experience the average bloke is usually prepared to throw a few roughies into their their first three legs but then thinks...what if I am winning after 3...better go conservative in the last..back the fave) and fluctuation followers(by the last race more drunk than dumb) hammer whatever is the favourite on the monitor at the time. Often creates an odds tumbling momentum which sucks in even more money.

Concentrate on the LAST RACE at a meeting on a SATURDAY (Pub Puntin Day)
Back the Tipsters Poll Top Point Scorer (alternatively you could select your preferred tipsters and 3,2,1 their selections and stick with the top point scorer.).The logic being that this horse was picked in the cold hard light of day...could be a little naive itself!
Only back it if it is NOT the TAB favourite 3 minutes before the race.

I'm using Friday Sydney Morning Herald. (Picks 4-4,3,2,1)

Tomorrow's selections:
Flemington Race 10 #5 Roman Squire (20/32 max pts)
Canberra Race 8 #1 Johanrutz & #8 Mamselle Moorings (tied 11/20)
Could go MM on countback?
Pt Macquarie Race 10 #1 Silver Dane (15/20)
Morphetville Race 8 #1 Recooperate (18/32)

Didn't do Rockhampton or Belmont..didnt have a poll..only one tipster.
Pre-post faves there:
Rocky Race 9 #4 Milora Miss ($3.50pp)
Belmont Race 8 #4 Solidwickedcruel ($4.20)

Only back them if they are NOT the TAB favourite 3 mins before jump
See how it goes.

Roman Squire scratched.
Replaced by Amy Jaye Power #6

Just back everything with 'blinkers first time' at the carnival and clean up!

Yeah...I saw that...$56...$21....I always seem to look at that after the race!
Used to follow beaten favourites...tried them all.

Today's results:
Flemington Race 10 #5 Roman Squire Scratched
Amy Jay Power 2nd $2 pl...Field/AJP Exacta $261.40 for $12

Canberra Race 8 #1 Johanrutz...Fave so not backed & #8 Mamselle Moorings...unplaced..Field/MM exacta $0 for $11


Pt Macquarie
Race 10 #1 Silver Dane..2nd $2pl..Field/SD Exacta $11.10 for$13

Morphetville
Race 8 #1 Recooperate...2nd $2.40pl...Field/Reco Exacta $69 for $12.


$341 for $48 outlay.
Desparate retrospective attempt to justify selections.


Reality.....4 bets 3 seconds...Place System?

PS: watch Captain in Charge...last 2 runs steady and understated...don't know what they've (Hayes) got in mind for it..but when they do support it...get on.