Pengo's Corner
 

Backing SP FAV in small fields, 6 or less runners
E/W bet.
CHELTENHAM
1:06PM AR1, 1-Husson Lightning
DOOMBEN
2:00PM BR2, 4-Eskimo Dan
CHELTENHAM
5:28PM AR8, 3-Predestined


Backing where trainer is Mark Kavanagh
E/W if SP FAV otherwise Place bet only.
Sandown
1:00PM MR2, 2-Costa Marbella


Backing when trainer jockey combo is
Mick Price / C Newitt
E/W if SP FAV otherwise Place bet only.
Sandown
1:36PM MR3, 3-Jenolan


Backing when trainer jockey combo is
G Waterhouse / B Shinn
E/W if SP FAV otherwise Place bet only.
RANDWICK
4:15PM SR6, 11-Bank Robber

Pengo's Corner (Block C, mental ward...padded)
^^has the permit been issued for this yet?

ive always been a massive fan of re-zoning in the community.

1 question though. Are there specific visiting hours i should post between?

lol I think the jockey was on autopilot on Husson Lightning, wasn't expecting El Guapo to make a move on him from how race caller suddenly got excited.

Tracking bets to see if they are worthwhile... (not actually betting on).

Backing SP FAV in small fields, 6 or less runners
E/W bet.
DOOMBEN
BR2, 4-Eskimo Dan, 1st
CHELTENHAM
AR1, 1-Husson Lightning, 2nd.
5:28PM AR8, 3-Predestined, 1st


Backing when trainer jockey combo is
G Waterhouse / B Shinn
E/W if SP FAV otherwise Place bet only.
RANDWICK
SR6, 11-Bank Robber, 1st


Backing where trainer is Mark Kavanagh for a place
Sandown
MR2, 2-Costa Marbella, DNP
Cheltenham
AR2, 5-You're On, 3rd.
AR3, 6-Kenwick, 2nd.
AR4, 1-Lord Bramar, DNP


Backing when trainer jockey combo is
Mick Price / C Newitt
E/W if SP FAV otherwise Place bet only.
Sandown
1:36PM MR3, 3-Jenolan, DNP

-----------
What I actually bet, all e/w bets.
Latemail, no 1 tip for both tipsters (radiotab, track tipper; as listed at tabonline.com.au),
Sandown Race 2, 3-Yoobabe, 1st
Cheltenham Race 1, 1-Husson Lightning, 2nd
Cheltenham Race 3, 2-Foolish Lad, 1st
Cheltenham Race 4, 4-Tosstestaroan, 1st
Cheltenham Race 8, 3-Predestined, 1st
Doomben Race 2, 4-Eskimo Dan, 1st

Nice one Pengo. Well done.

Yes, well done, Pengo.

I am sure Bhagwan will be able to give some long-term results about that idea --- he knows that QldTab site back to front.

It would be interesting to know who (or what) decides which venues get all three tips.

i think its just the metro races, if so thats fine with me as I have the belief that metro runners are better quality (well at least when it comes to the odds on/sp fav).

Will be interesting to see how long I can go before I bust the bank, I'm thinking about uping the stakes from a single unit to 5 units per bet (either 5 each way or just 5 for a place). To try and build up the bank quicker. Ultimately I'd love to have built the bank up to 1k and then I can just resort to place betting to try and reduce the risk, but bet out massive amounts. It would suck losing, but hey I've only ever invested $50 in this of my money. The rest is all profit.

Pengo,

Well done today, but I think you need to take a wider perspective.
Favourites in big fields win less but pay more, favourites in small fields win more but pay less, at the end of the day you lose the same amount of money.

This has all been studied a hundred years ago and the end result is that it comes purely down to price. You must get the best price possible to have any hope of eeking out even a small percentage of profit.

i would recommend you consider the price you take, otherwise you'll keep searching for higher and higher strike rate sytems and none will win because of price.

I would recommend partial all-ups on win and place to give you some chance of making a profit.

thanks for the comments,. tho I'm doing this more out of fun and having something invested helps to keep it interesting; so even it doesn't work out to be profitable int he long run, then so be it. If it does, then all the more better.

Anyway...

So far bets have been as follows today.


Methodology: Late mail, radio tab no 1 pick, sp fav, $4 between 1st fav and 2nd fav win odds. Runners no more than 7.

Cranbourne
R1: 8-PALOMA BELLA, 2nd, E/W.
I bet too early on this, but fortunately I staked well enough that I only lost $1 on the bet. If I waited like I normally do and bet about 2-3mins before the jump, I would have seen the horse that eventually won firm up on me and so would have prevented me from betting in this race based on my methodology.

Cheltneham
R1: 3-IMPERIUM, 1st, E/W

Methodology: Late mail, radio tab no 1 pick, sp fav, Runners no more than 8.

E/W bet if $4 between 1st fav and 2nd fav win odds.
Otherwise place bet.

Todays results.
TAREE Race 2
8 MILLIONDOLLARBABY
E/W
1st.