if only we knew which 70% eh?
 

quoting you from the other thread party, hope you dont mind, thought the subject of how those here attack any given day might be worth its own thread.

i have a couple of different methods i use to select both win & lay bets, both methods require betting at around the jump & are "proven" (i use that term with caution) over in excess of 2000 races over the last couple of years

ive found ive just got to crunch all selections that the methods throw up, if i set a target for the day & stop this seems to result in reduced profit longterm, albeit at a higher pot

just wondering what approach others may use?

G'day stugots, at this moment I can't figure out where I said that BUT, you are 100% correct, it's a close call alright, i.e. do you BACK the 70% or lay the 30%, hahahah, the $64,000 question? so to speak, in my case it's easy as being in WA I can't get Betfair anyway. so there you go!

As I've managed to come out on the right side of the ledger (so far) I will carry on.

Godd luck,

I have to admit it makes our job a bit easier being in WA we just have to decide where to bet, bookies or Tab

either of you care to elaborate on what you are on about? :)

The WA government has banned betfair here, we have had our accounts restricted we can see our accounts and withdraw the funds but can't place a bet.

i was referring to the "if only we knew which 70%" :)

Thorns what I was saying is that although I know that method has a 70% S/R, I (and everone else) doesn't know which 70% of course.

sort of what i was on about party, but to give an example of a typical day -

i identify 16 potential lays for the day
after 8 races ive layed 5 that have lost & passed on 3 races

so im up 5 units, which is what i could be more than happy with for the day

but theres still 8 possible money making opportunities left, so do i stay or do i go?

at present i stay, simply to keep turnover up & to cash in on those days where almost everything goes my way

just wondering what others do?

stugots, although I've "made a book" many times at the track, I haven't had the experience that you have , simply because we can't use Betfair here in WA, so your scenario is hard to comment on, but I think you hit the nail on the head when you mentioned "turnover".
Though on the human level it is ************ frustrating when you stick around and a winning day turns bad.

yeh, hitting that $8 winner with the last lay of the day does suck

laying, win place betting whatever, its all the same imho with regards to how one manages his/her betting on any given day

often hear people remark that they stop once a target is reached for teh day, is that a strategy that most here would agree with?