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-   -   Average div. for 2nd and 3rd fav. win Sat. Metro? (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=17376)

crash 17th March 2008 05:14 PM

Average div. for 2nd and 3rd fav. win Sat. Metro?
 
Anyone know the average divs. and SR% ?

Chrome Prince 17th March 2008 10:14 PM

Second Favourites
s/r 19.43%
Ave div $4.48
Loss 12.89%

Third Favourites
s/r 13.59%
Ave div $6.07
Loss 17.50%

Second and Third together
s/r 16.50%
Ave Div $5.14
Loss 15.20%

These figures are based on tote rankings at the jump.

crash 18th March 2008 04:34 AM

Thanks for that Chrome.

thorns 18th March 2008 11:07 AM

Is that figure for second and third together correct? I would have thought that backing both would give a higher strike rate?

Chrome Prince 18th March 2008 12:41 PM

Yes, it's correct thorns.
You get the better strike rate of the second fave and the worse strike rate of the third fave as an average, not together.

As another example, faves have a 30% s/r.

Add that to second and third faves and you get 21.29% strike rate, because it's the average.

This is the strike rate of the horses not strike rate per race.

thorns 18th March 2008 01:16 PM

Cheers for clearing that up, I knew there must have been a logical reason for it.

Bhagwan 19th March 2008 05:12 AM

The figure should read for 2nd & 3rd Favs.
19.43% + 13.59% = 33.02% SR

Av $5.14
-15.20% LOT

Cheers.

Mark 19th March 2008 07:56 AM

Except you double the amount of bets (2nd & 3rd pick), so the strike rate is halved. The original figure of 16.5% is correct.

Chrome Prince 19th March 2008 11:05 AM

Is that you making books today at sandown to payout 8k?
;)

Chrome Prince 19th March 2008 11:38 AM

Remember to pot those odds on favourites at Canterbury, they have a terrible record ;)


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