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-   -   My Doncaster System... (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=17522)

Racer 24th April 2008 01:10 PM

My Doncaster System...
 
Requires the, Lowest Weighted GRP1 winning 3yo this season - This year it looks to be
the Snowden\Niko. Filly 'Forensics', but I hope she comes in a bit re. her draw
- Strange that her $1 million dollar Golden Rose win was a GRP2 race whereas her couple of hundred grand QOTTurf win was a GRP1 - it was over 1550 and she came from 7th at the 400 to win - At her previous start in the GRP2 over 1400 she came from 10th at the 400 to win.

As usual there is a bit of a 3yo fly in the ointment named 'Triple Honour' because he lost by a NOSE in the GRP1 Randwick Guineas mile, to arguably the best 3yo we have seen in a while 'Weekend Hussler' - he has the Boss on board and a good draw.

Good luck with whatever you all choose.

JoeF 24th April 2008 02:03 PM

Racer, be careful with TRIPLE HONOUR. An article in the Courier stated that after his 2nd to WH (which must have been a gutbuster) he left his feed and was a bit off according to his trainer.
Although it did go on to say that he was now a bit brighter after having his routine changed to beach work and a change of environment.

Racer 25th April 2008 10:05 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeF
Racer, be careful with TRIPLE HONOUR. An article in the Courier stated that after his 2nd to WH (which must have been a gutbuster) he left his feed and was a bit off according to his trainer.
Although it did go on to say that he was now a bit brighter after having his routine changed to beach work and a change of environment.

Thanks for the heads up Joe. - I hadn't seen that - and now they say the
HQ track is heavy I will tread lightly this year because both have only managed 'Dead'.

crash 25th April 2008 10:24 AM

TRIPLE HONOUR
Breeding: Honours List (IRE) - Myrrh (NZ)
Fast: 0:0-0-0. Good: 3:1-0-0. Dead: 4:2-1-0. Slow: 0:0-0-0. Heavy: 1:1-0-0.

Boss+B7 will help and should go like a duck with that breeding!

Stix 25th April 2008 10:27 AM

Criteria
3yo
51-54kg
<$30
Placed last start

Results
Past 8 years
11 Selections
3 Wins
4 Places
Win Profit 10.4 units (av div $7.13) POT 90.55%
Place Profit 0.4 units (av div $2.85) POT 3.64%

Selections this year
#14 Forensics (17)
#19 Serious Speed (19)
Barriers against both though.....

Stix 25th April 2008 10:41 AM

Where track is Heavy or slow, only consider those that have ran first or second last start (Barrier 8-15*) best
#6 Eskimo Queen
#8 Valedectum*
#9 All Silent*
#11 Friday Creek
#14 Forensics
#16 Hot Danish
#17 Pinnacles
#19 Serious Speed

Must be in top 5 Av Prize Money (API)

........... But what would I know :o

crash 25th April 2008 05:27 PM

Stop putting yourself down Stix. Your no more brain-dead than anyone else here. Including this writer :-)

JoeF 26th April 2008 03:37 PM

Racer, oops, I hope I didn't talk you out of that thing 8-\

Racer 27th April 2008 08:49 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeF
Racer, oops, I hope I didn't talk you out of that thing 8-\

No way Joe - I have noticed over 50 years to take the words of trainers with an absolute pinch of salt, but continuously remember,

' They do the opposite of what they say, watch very carefully what they DO'.

With that in mind if you can review the film of the race have a look at 'Forensics', it missed the jump, Niko. gave it a couple of mins. to get right
and then began to pick up, but chose to stay on the rail, and ran into a brick wall just when she was doing two to their one - Before the race they were going to retire her - I hope they give her one or more chances in Group races.

Many days before the Slipper Niko. did the exact same thing with 'Portillo'
ran into a rail brick wall, and 'Portillo' was trying to climb over those in front,
I took a bagful of the $9.00+ odds at it's NEXT start when it did not get stuck on the rail - I thought they would give the Slipper a miss after it's 1200 win because that horse needs more ground than 1200 - and it's worth remembering that - even though he ran third in the Slipper.


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