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-   -   Betting 3 Horses a Race (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=17625)

Bhagwan 16th May 2008 05:37 AM

Betting 3 Horses a Race
 
Heres a way of betting ones 3 selections & using the shortest price as a saver bet.

1) Fav as saver
Say we are useing $10 a race.
We bet the shortest price into $10 & spread the remainder over the other 2 selections.

E.g.
$10 divided by say $2.50 = $4 O/L on fav
$4 - $10 = $6 remainder
$6 divided by 2 = $3 to be placed on the other 2 selections, say Price was $4.50 & $7.00

If the Fav wins, we break even.
If either of the other 2 get up, we should make profit of either +$3.50 or +$11.00 depending on which one gets up.

2) Other 2 Horses as a Saver
If one wished to have the other 2 horses as a saver & have the Fav as the Main bet.
Say the 2 longest priced horses were $4.50 & $7.00
$10 divided by $4.50 = $2.22
$10 divided by $7.00 = $1.43
Total = $3.65
Minus $10 = $6.35 remainder to be placed on the say said $2.50 Fav

Total ret if Fav gets up $15.88 = +$5.88 prof
Break even if either of the other 2 horses get up.

This I feel this is a stronger way to minimise the run of outs one always encounters at some stage.
I feel it is a stronger approach than betting E/W because we have the same chance or greater, percentage wise, of striking a return as E/W but the returns a usually higher.

One will note I have used cents in the calculations.
One can do this literally, if using Bet Trader Pro or Fairbot when betting through Betfair because these programms get around the Betfair $6 min.

The first 3 in the live market have a stat of 65% SR
Most tipsters have a SR of 45-55% SR of their first 3 selections, with the odd double digit payer.

Cheers.

darkydog2002 16th May 2008 12:06 PM

Bhagwan.

Another way is to use the $32 Plan in reverse on races 5 - 8 ( generally Fav backers should go home after race 4 )

$5 on the 2nd Fav

$10 on 3rd Fav

$17 on 4th Fav

Cheers.
darky.

Mr Quaddie 16th May 2008 09:06 PM

Maybe we can try this in theory for Saturday and Sunday meetings.


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