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-   -   Calling Chrome and other wise sages (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=17694)

Jack 2nd June 2008 08:34 PM

Calling Chrome and other wise sages
 
I understand that backing early 3 year olds is unwise.
So when are 3 year olds eligible for consideration ?
Is it the beginning of February ? March ? or even January ?

Regards

Chrome Prince 3rd June 2008 03:29 AM

Hi Jack,

I only use sage to get rid of the demons ;)

3yo favourites - 32.57% S/R 12.25% loss

January 36.22% S/R
February 34.40% S/R
March 32.97% S/R
April 32.73% S/R
May 32.87% S/R
June 29.82% S/R
July 28.70% S/R
August 31.89% S/R
September 32.30% S/R
October 30.07% S/R
November 35.96% S/R
December 34.41% S/R

Just stay away from winter 3yo's ;)

OR...

It's worse to be nearly four than it is to just turn three :D

Jack 3rd June 2008 12:45 PM

Hi Chrome,
Thank you for your prompt reply. Always have respected your wisdom on this forum. Very interesting results over 12 months. How many events are the stats based upon ? Were they taken from all track conditions ? and are they a combimation of Brisbane, Sydney and Melbourne events or taken from one city only?

Regards

crash 3rd June 2008 02:25 PM

November has always been the month to include 3yr olds. as they [obviously] have a bit of form about them by then. Still, they have been a fairly poor crop for the last couple of years except for a small few exceptions. Personally and I think any stats will show so, 4 and 5yr. olds are the best horses to bet and also have the best SR. Best average price: $5.50 SP or less.

Wise Sages? Bookies I reckon:-)

Stix 3rd June 2008 04:45 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
November has always been the month to include 3yr olds. as they [obviously] have a bit of form about them by then. Still, they have been a fairly poor crop for the last couple of years except for a small few exceptions. Personally and I think any stats will show so, 4 and 5yr. olds are the best horses to bet and also have the best SR. Best average price: $5.50 SP or less.

Wise Sages? Bookies I reckon:-)
Not so sure with 5 yo's Crash, but I do agree with 4yo's...... Quality 5 yo, yes, but a a general rule I don't bet on 5yo or older or 2yo's

I like betting on the 3 & 4yo's..... that have reasonable form.... but hey what ever works, I say!

Chrome Prince 3rd June 2008 04:51 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jack
Hi Chrome,
Thank you for your prompt reply. Always have respected your wisdom on this forum. Very interesting results over 12 months. How many events are the stats based upon ? Were they taken from all track conditions ? and are they a combimation of Brisbane, Sydney and Melbourne events or taken from one city only?

Regards


Jack, all track conditions, Metro races all States, 7.5 years data.

Bhagwan 3rd June 2008 07:01 PM

Did you hear the one about the Sage that refused to pay his Exorcist?

He ended up being repossessed...

Bom Bom.

JoeF 4th June 2008 07:41 PM

Very good Baggy.


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