System
 

System,
1) No worse than dead track.
2) Placed on last track no worse than dead.
3) Run the same distance as last track.
4) Bet barrier 2-5
5) 8-12 runners
6) Last run 14 days.
7) Top jockey only.
8) Paying less than $3.50.

Could some one test it please?
Baco60

I couldn't include the jockey in this test.

Selections : 847

Wins : 295
S/R : 34.83%
Return : $739.10
Loss : $107.90
Loss 12.74%
Av/Div : $2.51

Places : 616
S/R : 72.73%
Return : 816.08
Loss : $30.92
Loss : 3.65%
Av/Div : $1.32

Based on 7 years results

Shaun, that place result looks interesting, are those divies Unitab?

Not sure, i used the race census program to get that info

Thanks
 

Thanks Shaun,
Much appreciated.
B

Hi Baco.
I am assuming the $3.50 rule applies to live market price.

It is very difficult to show a profit in that narrow range using TAB prices.
Betfair would definitely put the idea into profit if one changed the rule for live prices to $2.80-5.00
This is the killing field price range a lot of professionals hone in on.

The Barrier rule may work strongest on races 1200m & less.
Have a look at races 1200m & less.


Try changing the rule about price to...
Must be $3.20-15.00 Pre-post newspaper.
I have found this to be a very strong rule for most systems & has improved a majority of systems showing an initial loss into a profit or less of a loss.

I believe you will see a lower SR but higher ROI (Return on investment).

Cheers.

Thanks
 

Thanks for that Bhagwan,
will give it a go with few changes as per recommendation.

How about...

Last run within 14 days
Last 3 starts = 9 or less
Leaders or Horse that race in the handy position
Horse must be up in class/weight rise
Must be ridden by a senior rider (no apprentice)
Must be in the first 5 in newspaper prices
Must have raced at track and distance

When a horse goes up in class, it usually goes down in weight [?]

sorry, was wondering which is a better horse to follow. a horse going down in class which gives it a "class-edge", or a horse that rises in class (trainer is confident it can match the class rise).

i was meant to put a question mark at the end of it.