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-   -   1x1 System (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=18651)

Stix 4th March 2009 07:35 PM

1x1 System
 
1. 2yo
2. last run before spell = 1st
3. Spell
3. First run from spell = 1st

form 1x1

S/R 39%
POT 50.9%
Av Div $3.85

Try Try Again 5th March 2009 11:50 AM

Hi Stix,

Interesting results. I have a few questions if that is alright.
  • Are these for all 2yo races or just from Metropolitan meetings?
  • The results you have quoted are they based on "Best Tote", SP, TF or a particular Tote?
  • Over what period are the results taken?
Looks promising for very little form study!

Try Try Again

Stix 5th March 2009 11:11 PM

1. All Metro
2. UniTab
3. 8 years

Chrome Prince 6th March 2009 08:13 AM

2yo geldings

50% S/R
245% POT

:D

Actually there aren't enough of them, the figures just look good, so try racing within 30 days.

42.55% S/R
63.83% POT

Still a small number, but you never know.

Chrome Prince 6th March 2009 08:46 AM

Here's a plan I donate to prove you can make money on odds on favourites.

1. Last start winner
2. Horse must have started odds on last race.
3. Must be racing within 21 days
4. Must be odds on today
5. Geldings only.

66.97% S/R
10.29% POT at tote prices

thorns 6th March 2009 09:07 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
Here's a plan I donate to prove you can make money on odds on favourites.

1. Last start winner
2. Horse must have started odds on last race.
3. Must be racing within 21 days
4. Must be odds on today
5. Geldings only.

66.97% S/R
10.29% POT at tote prices
Cheers for that Chrome, what sort of number of runners are we talking about over a year?

Chrome Prince 6th March 2009 09:14 AM

Results 4/2/2009

Sandown Zivalee $1.90

Selections Saturday and Monday only if odds on:

09/03/2009 WARWICK FARM
R 6 # 3 COUNTRY TIDE
R 6 # 9 ILLUME

09/03/2009 MOONEE VALLEY
R 4 # 1 METEOR MASTER

09/03/2009 MORPHETTVILLE
R 9 #18 RIKBAT

07/03/2009 FLEMINGTON
R 6 #17 SECRET FLYER
R 6 #22 AICHI
R 8 # 4 THESEO
R 8 # 8 ROAD TO ROCK

07/03/2009 EAGLE FARM
R 4 # 5 SLEEPY JACKSON
R 5 # 3 HEARTSUN
R 8 #15 ABBACINA

07/03/2009 ASCOT
R 3 # 2 INNOVATION

Chrome Prince 6th March 2009 09:20 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by thorns
Cheers for that Chrome, what sort of number of runners are we talking about over a year?


Not many from my metro only database, I'm running it on a country & metro database and it will take some time to complete, I'll post full results when it's finished.

P.S. it throws some very long priced placings as well when they aren't odds on this start.

Actually, scratch that last statement it was just a purple patch, instead just back them when favourite (odds on and not odds on)

44.82% S/R
2.63% Loss at tote prices

Top Fluc - Home and hosed :D

Chrome Prince 6th March 2009 10:56 AM

Thorns,

All races for 8 years that qualify:

860 selections
58.6% S/R
504 winners
-3.5% at tote prices


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