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-   -   Test System (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=19042)

michaelg 5th July 2009 09:12 AM

Test System
 
I've been doing quite well particularly with Place betting both here and N.Z. so I'll give it a go and hope the forum curse doesn't kill it.

Mudgee R5 no.2 - Slick Sniper
Mudgee R8 no.4 - Solar Hawk
Sun Coast R6 no.2 - Paralegal
Pt Augusta R3 no.3 - Lord Zebedee
Pt Augusta R6 no.1 - Lord L'Anno
Ashburton R7 no.2 - Don't Say Clang
Ashburton R10 no.1 - Augusta.

michaelg 6th July 2009 10:16 AM

Not a bad day yesterday. From the 7 selections thre were 4 winners for a profit of $7.00, and 5 placegetters for a profit of $0.42.

One selection today:
Mildura R10 no.5 - Last Dancer.

michaelg 7th July 2009 10:06 AM

Yesterday's selection ran fourth beaten in a photo finish.

Today's selections:

Cessnock R6 n0.4 - Miss Shalaquing
Cessnock R7 no.4 - Flying Dialogue.

michaelg 8th July 2009 10:06 AM

From yesterday's two selections there was one winner paying $2.10 and $1.20, the other selection ran fourth.

Four selections today:
Murray Bridge R7 no.2 - Empowering
Belmont R5 no.3 - Kasabian
Belmont R6 no.7 - Tsarinsky
Belmont R8 no.12 - Jean.

michaelg 9th July 2009 10:16 AM

From yesterday's four selections thre were 2 winners paying a total of $5.50, and a second and a fourth paying a total of $4.10 for the place.

Today's selections:
Mackay R1 no.2 - Title King
Balaklava R3 no.4 - Blevola Miss
Balaklava R6 no.3 - Lennybe
Balaklava R7 no.11 - Pure Essence.

Interestingly, all today's selections have 100 Unitab points.

crash 9th July 2009 04:09 PM

Are you betting for the win, e/w or the place?

michaelg 9th July 2009 06:35 PM

I'm betting each way, but I think from tomorrow it'll be Win only.

I made a mistake today - Balaklava R5 no.5 was a selection which I unfortunately omitted from listing it here. It won (naturally), paying $3.30 and $1.70, but I won't record it.

In spite of today's four losses, the Win component is still in profit.

crash 10th July 2009 07:43 AM

Yep, win only is probably the way to go if your win SR supports your averaged pay out.

Good Luck!

michaelg 10th July 2009 10:50 AM

Yes, Crash. Even though I prefer to bet each way, I'll now only bet Win but I'll monitor privately the Place bet. Hopefully it'll pick up.

During the test period there were 15 selections for 6 winners for a POT of 27.3%, and 11 placegetters for a POT of 36%. Since listing the selections here, there have been 18 selections for 7 winners for a POT of 20%, and 9 placegetters for a LOT of 29%. However, combining both periods, Place is still showing a profit.

Today's selections:

Ipswich R1 no.2 - Local Talent. (it's form last three runs are 0, 0, 7)
Dubbo R4 no.1 - So Generous
Dubbo R6 no.1 - Auditorium.

Out of interest, I've been testing a Lay system from 14 June. It is doing quite well. - 194 races with a profit on 159 on them. The profit is 77 units. However, my bets have been below the minimum of $5. I have now been contacted by Betfair that if I have one more bet below $5, then my account will be closed.

michaelg 11th July 2009 10:09 AM

From yesterday's theree selections there was one winner paying $3.20.

One selection today:

Murtoa R7 no.2 - Ned's Court.


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