First Four Flexi's
 

I'll try writing a summary of what the race is all about to me and see if that leads to Profit.

SALE Race 8

SURFING BOY is a very good dog and won with authority last time at Traralgon, but the outside draw is a worry.

SHEOK GRETA has won 2 and placed in the others from 4 starts here.

MAJOR SLICK has good form over the 440 but only the 1 placing from 5 starts over the 520.

SERBO DELIGHT is also a very good animal, but needs an inside draw and may find trouble out in Box 7.

GYPSY MAN has won 10 races out of 26 starts.Been running in town lately.Just an average beginner and I think the Box 5 will be its downfall.

Dunno much about DR TARLIA.There are heaps of these Doctors , and I get them confused.Seems well drawn on the fence.

DISH LICURIA won a race at Big Odds a while back in a small Field at Traralgon and a good 2nd here behind Conjure Love.

The 1st Reserve,DR BILLY RAY comes in to Box 4, and that is no incentive to back it.

The Market

8 SURFING BOY $3
2 SHEOAK GRETA $4
6 MAJOR SLICK $6
7 SERBO DELIGHT $8.7
5 GYPSY MAN $16
1 DR. TARLIA $20
3 DISH LICURIA $33
9 DR. BILLY RAY $125

First 4
8,2 - 8,2,6,7 - 8,2,6,7,5,1,3 - 8,2,6,7,5,1,3

There's a lot of Combinations there, but BETFAIR is now providing a Flexibet on First 4's and I find the best way of winning a dollar is to put in whatever needs to be put in

and setting the limit bet for a Flexi.
A couple of times I only got 5% or 10%, but when they pay over a thousand bucks, and that is quite common, it is a Fine result.

Bendigo Race 7
 

Bombed out badly yesterday.
Sorted the race out fairly well except for the winner who performed much better than I , and most other punters, expected.

BENDIGO Race 7

2 NAOMI CAMBAZ $2.5
8 GREY CHERRY $4.8
4 ROAD RAGE JILL $6.2
1 JAMAICAN $9
3 BAD BOY BILLY $12
5 KID SULLIVAN $60
7 MAGIC MOUNTAIN $100
6 TWO FACED $120

NAOMI CAMBAZ failed in driving rain last start, but was probably due to getting into trouble early from out wide and lost interest after that.
Hardly blame it, but should run well here from the inside.

GREY CHERRY seems to do its best work at Wangaratta, but 4 starts here has a win and 2 placings, but its times ain't all that hot.

ROAD RAGE JILL has 10 seconds here out of 18 starts and only missed the podium twice.

JAMAICAN has ability, but is best when can be right up front, but with a number of fast beginners here, that ain't likely.Place only

First 4
2,8,4 - 2,8,4,1 - 2,8,4,1,3 - 2,8,4,1,3,5
Probably wouldn't hurt to take a similar First 4 , but with Naomi Cambaz one out for 1st.

Shepparton Race 3
 

Skinny dividend meant only money back at Bendigo
Had too many animals in.

SHEPPARTON Race 3

Won't bother with markets or comments.

First 4
2 - 4,3 - 4,3 6,1 - 4,3,6,1

Horsham Race 6
 

The previous race was a winner and although the dividend was tiny, fortunately there weren't too many selections.
The return put the thread about 1 Unit in front overall.

HORSHAM Race 6

1 TIMELY OMEN $4.7
4 YO PAULIE $5.5
8 HEY KOBYBOYN $6.2
3 ROCKSTAR MANGA $7.5
5 SUN RULER $10
6 BIG TIME PLAYER $12
7 BUCCINI $15
2 SCROOGE MCDUCK $16

First 4
1,4,8,3 - 1,4,8,3 - 1,4,8,3,5,6 - Field for $4.50
1,4,8 - 1,4,8,3 - 1,4,8,3,5,6 - 1,4,8,3,5,6 for $2

This First 4 will pay BIG.
Hard race with many Chances and even a 1.9% Collect will do me.

Money back on the previous bet.
Better than losing, which was a possibility .
Animals started shorter than I figured and will have to study harder.

WARRAGUL Race 8

4 quick beginners here should pretty much leave the rest of the field behind and be the first 4.
Just to be safe I'm chucking in the strong SPADER who will finish on.

1 OUR WILBUR $2.7
6 SHAMELESS $4
2 MAJOR LOAD $6.5
8 EXTRA STRIDE $7.2
5 SPADER $16
4 KING CYRIL $40
7 ZAMIRA $50

First 4
1,6 - 1,6,2,8 - 1,6,2,8,5 - 1,6,2,8,5 for $4.50
1 - 6,2,8 - 6,2,8 - 6,2,8,5 for $2

The Meadows
 

Well there was another very small profit, but useful nevertheless.
That puts it at 2 Units ahead.
There must be a good collect just around the corner.

MEADOWS Race 8

2 CHO CHANG $3.5
5 DARIUS BALE $6.1
3 SCHECKLER BALE $6.2
6 STORM FURY $6.4
1 ASTON ZIP $10
7 CYCLONE BABE $14
4 NEWFIRE BLITZ $30
8 GLENMOYNE LAD $50

First 4
2,5,3,6 - 2,5,3,6 - 2,5,3,6,1 - 2,5,3,6,1,7 for $4.50
2 - 5,3,6 - 5,3,6,1,7 - 5,3,6,1,7 for $2

Close but no cigar.
Paid good too :(
Just need to be patient.
The win is very close.

BENDIGO Race 8

7 NUTS FAWN SUIT $3.8
2 SANGAKKARA $4.3
1 ESKIMO MAGGIE $7.5
3 MINGO'S VICTORY $8
5 FREDDY FLATHEAD $10
6 SPEEDY SHOW $12
4 PROVEN PLACID $20
8 WESTERN GIANT $40

First 4
7,2 - 7,2,1,3,5 - 7,2,1,3,5,6 - 7,2,1,3,5,6 for $6.50

If anyone is curious about the investment being $6.50, that is 1% of My BANK.

Terrible last race.
Not even close.
Starting to look a little luck results are more due to luck than any skill in Form assessment.

WARRNAMBOOL Race 8

7 KADER BALE $4.3
1 NELLY BALE $6.5
2 DYNA AARON $6.5
3 HALKIN BALE $6.5
6 CLAN MCBRIDE $7.2
5 ENZO BALE $10
8 GALBA CHRIS $16
9 ELLA RULE $100

First 4
7,1,2 - 7,1,2,3,6 - 7,1,2,3,6 - 7,1,3,2,6,5 for $4.50
7,1 - 7,1,2 - 7,1,2,3,6 - 7,1,2,3,6 for $2

Should stay out of this one but can't help myself :(

Just not happening
I'll make this the last for a little while till I can find out where I am going wrong.With only 6 runners, if I can't get this one I'm hopeless

SANDOWN Race 8

3 ASTON VOLANTE $3.6
7 BLITZEM BALE $3.7
5 LYNLEA'S KING $6.5
1 MY LIPPLING $7.5
8 PARRACRYL $8.5
6 PARAGON PATCH $20

First 4
3,7 - 3,7,5,1 - 3,7,5,1,8 - 3,7,5,1,8 for $4
3,7 - 3,7,5 - 3,7,5,1 - 3,7,5,1,8 for $2

The Meadows Race 8

1 IMMACULATE $3.3
2 TYE ME DOWN $5
3 CHARDONNAY DOLL $6.3
4 HEZA GAMBLE $8
7 WAKE UP WABBIT $10
8 SON OF SENNA $20
5 POMMIE PRINCESS $25
10 OURBOY BERTIE $33

Pretty sure I can snag this First 4
The winning Combination is somewhere in this lot.

123 - 12347 - 12347 - 12347

I figure I can increase the chances of making a Profit by Banking on the Red Runner to figure on the podium

1 - 2347 - 2347 - 2347 for $5
23 - 1 - 2347 - 2347 for $2.50
23 - 2347 - 1 - 2347 for $2.50

Will return 20% of the Dividend if it comes in.