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Wide Barrier System
Hey all, long time reader, thought I would put this one out there for somebody to check the figures on this system. If someone could break the figures into City and Country meetings that would be great. I have been trying a few ideas on the online system builder.
1300-1500m 8-12 Runners Barrier 10-12 Placed last start Won in last 4 starts Any help would be appreciated. There are some great ideas on this site and the occasional great tip, keep up the good work. Auspunter79 (Just last night there was a great $21 win at Sunny Coast) |
Another winner today...
Rosehill Race 8 MR UNFORGETTABLE W 5.00, P 1.90 |
Heres one I created using Online System Creator
RULES .11-12 Runners .Like %4% (4th in any last 4 starts) .Barriers 11-12 .1st-2nd LS Result 24% SR 83% POT There were less than 150 selections , so needs more testing. |
Impressive results AustPunter
Well done. |
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10 year result sel 702 win 101 Loss 26.45% |
Thanks Bhagwan
Shaun - any chance of having the results broken into city and country?? I'm a little surprised by the 26.45% loss, as it seems the last few years it's returning good positive returns. 10 years is a long time and every system will have its ups and down, hopefully its on a good run of wins, because I have been having some nice wins. |
Barrier Bias
Some time** ago i was following a couple of chaps on a UK forum re handicapping. One of them posted a link that produced a booklet re barrier bias. I downloaded it and it had no value to me then so it is filed on a dead computer somewhere. However from memory the book listed most UK tracks and their win statistics for inner middle and outer barriers. In a field of 18 it would list the inner 6 barriers middle 6 and the outer 6. It gave these in lenghts of races and field size and standard track variences. From memory there was a discussion about the effect of barrier bias and the some barrier draws on certain tracks were such a disavantage that if a horse drew that barrier the trainer would scratch the runner. You could clearly at 1600M say at Ayr you did not back barriers 6 to 10, however at 1200M this was less a problem.
Is there a database available for Australian track bias? Regards Beton |
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Thanks Crackone thats a good start. Shows the results of each barrier with out consideration of field size. In graph form it shows some peculiarities and clear track bias. Some barrriers at a particular distance have no result while the adjacent barrier has a good result. This has to be from the number of runs considered. I was looking at the results with consideration of field size. Beton
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Randwick Barrier 7 up to and including 1600M (not 1400!) always in profit. If your selection happens to be in b 7 so much the better I suppose? There are more like this but sorry don't ask, love to help but a man has to have an edge in this game! Good luck |
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