Question for Darkydog
 

darky, do you use IAS opening prices? do you dutch em or back levels regardless?

just something i've been working thats similar.

Hi party.
Yes I use IAS OPENING prices ( top 4).
I then Multiply the opening price X 1.2 and thats my MINIMUM acceptable price.
I then bet any "overs " at the original opening price ala Don Scott.

i.e OPENING $3 X1.2 = $3.60 Bet $50 @$3.60 = Nett $130

Cheers.
darky

Yes that's the same as my current project, I take it that you then back overs with IAS fixed prices IF it happens?? or do you look for any fixed price overs from anywhere? LEVEL STAKES??

Sounds a interesting one. Going by this darky or party, do you think there would be any merit in laying those are shorter than there opening quote? ie lay those .8 shorter than opening quote on BF.

A good question Thorns as only 1 can win but 4 can lose, but we need to know what is the performance for each i.e P/L for opening FAV, 2ND FAV, ETC
anyone got the stats??

e.g. Oakbank now race 3, open 12 @ 4.60, 6@$6, 8@$6 abd 2 @ 7,

so can get set on no.6@ $10 and No.8 @ $8.50c

but no8 is $9 with sportsbet and $9.50c with sportingbet and I havent checked the others but you see what I'm getting at??

A good win there for no 8, but I'm told that $15 was available on Betfair

I generally bet FIXED and alternate between IAS and UNITAB.Longer priced horses usually pay better on TOTE .
As my old mum used to say "The best rating service is the bookmakers OPENING quote".

I believe that every punter should burn that saying into their conciousness before outlaying any money on overly priced rating services.

I bet them level stakes.

Cheers.
darky

I agree darky in fact I've always said that the prices (even Pre post) ARE a ratings service. I've noticed so far that IAS first 4 usually jags the winner.

But I would like to see actual stats if anyone has em' ??

I remeber years ago someone on the othe punting forums has a method where he would target the top 4 I think from IAS and was consistently making a profit. He got pretty much laughed off teh forums being told you cant do it, but it seemed to work for him. Will try dig up that thread if I can, think he has some stats for the top x amount of selections as well.

Thorns .
Yeah I can believe it.It probably came from some deadbeat who ran their own rating service.
Cheers
darky