Lowest AAP Price, Last Four Races
 

Here is an idea that seems to have merit, showing about 8% POT, but may not survive the curse of the forum. Might benefit from some filters etc to increase POT.
At each venue (good tracks only), find the lowest price assessed by AAP in the last four races. (I always like the Quaddie races as they are the best betting races.) No first starters or first up from a spell - take the next lowest assessed price that day.
(AAP prices from http://tabform.thewest.com.au/Daily...W=1232260324876)
Back the selection for a win. If more than one at the lowest price, choose the horse in the later race. e.g. if there in a $2.40 chance in race 7 and also in race 8, choose the horse in race 8.
For today Wednesday, there are only two venues with good tracks:
Balaklava R6 H2
Belmont R8 H2. (I have assumed T Good, as the weather is fine in Perth.)

jackact, is this paid ratings you are referring to?

Partypooper, I just use the Tabform publication that the West Australian puts out, available thru the WA Tab site. I'm not completely sold on the AAP prices shown there, but their lower priced selections seem to have a reasonable strike rate.

oh yes I just spotted the link in your original post, got it!

1 from 2 today.

Edge off got up at $3.20. Noticed it was a t/d winner.

Any stats on that jackact?

Have you tried backing overs on the AAP market?

The Schmile

Thanks, Schmile, I'll look into t/d as a factor, and possible selection criterion. No, I haven't exactly used AAP prices for overs, dutching, and the like - I guess I don't have that much faith in their accuracy. It's a thought, though.
Today's selections (Tasmania later if track OK):
Kembla 7/4
Bendigo 5/1
Toowoomba 8/5

Cheers

jackact, just as amatter of interest how did you find out that the WA TAB-FORM pre post market was AAP?

You know, I used em for years as the basis of my place plan without realising that it was AAP market! I did write to West Australian News and ask at one time but they just told me it was computer generated.

Party,

In the Daily Telegraph here in NSW some "Tips" have a name attached to them, the others are simply AAP. I presume that the tips are not just the 3 or 4 at the bottom of the list of runners, but the pre-post quotes as well (maybe I am wrong). The AAP tips seem to be computer generated; but the tips with a name attached usually are more nuanced (for want of a better word) I feel --- so you get $4.20 or $2.80, not just $3.50 and $4.00, and so on.

A bit more grist for the mill --- then again it may be my imagination!!

Hi Everyone,
I deduced (perhaps incorrectly) that the West Australian prices are from AAP, as they are the same as used by the Canberra Times, and I thought that paper acknowledged AAP as the source. As Merriguy says for Sydney papers, Canberra Times tips are labelled "AAP", bit recent Canberra Times form supplements don't show the prices as being AAP sourced. I suspect they are, though. However, it's probably safer if I refer to the West Australian Tabform prices by another name. Thanks, guys.

Losing day yesterday, one collect $2.20 (Unitab) from three bets.
Only one venue today because of wet tracks:
Grafton 9/12