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-   -   1200 MTR system (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=20248)

darkydog2002 6th June 2010 01:45 PM

1200 MTR system
 
1200 only
FIELD SIZE = 6 - 16
NO RACE WHERE THEIR ARE 6 OR MORE BACK FROM A SPELL
VENUES SYD/MELB/ADEL BRIS /WA
TRACK CONDITIONS = GOOD OR DEAD
HORSES AGE = 2 - 7
CAREER STARTS = 3 - 39
BARRIER 1 - 14 AFTER SCRATCHINGS
TAB NUMBER = 1 - 15
WEIGHT 52 - 58 (ignore apptc allowance)
DAYS SINCE LS = MAX 30
DAYS TO 2ND LS 24 - 63
DAYS SINCE 3RD LS MINIMUM 94
RUNS THIS PREPARATION = 2
LS FIN POSN = 1 OR 2
2ND LS FIN POSN = 1 - 5
PRICE LAST START UP TO $7 MAX
WEIGHT CHANGE + - = 5 KG
MAX DISTANCE CHANGE 200 + -
LS MARGIN = WON OR 0.5 FROM WINNER
NO MORE THAN 2 SELECTIONS IN THE 1 RACE

Cheers

Stix 9th June 2010 01:32 PM

Think you are taking the pi$$ darky.....but best I can fit is:

1200 only
FIELD SIZE = 6 - 16
NO RACE WHERE THEIR ARE 6 OR MORE BACK FROM A SPELL N/A
VENUES SYD/MELB/ADEL BRIS /WA
TRACK CONDITIONS = GOOD OR DEAD
HORSES AGE = 2 - 7
CAREER STARTS = 3 - 39
BARRIER 1 - 14 AFTER SCRATCHINGS
TAB NUMBER = 1 - 15
WEIGHT 52 - 58 (ignore apptc allowance)
DAYS SINCE LS = MAX 30
DAYS TO 2ND LS 24 - 63
DAYS SINCE 3RD LS MINIMUM 94N/A
RUNS THIS PREPARATION = 2
LS FIN POSN = 1 OR 2
2ND LS FIN POSN = 1 - 5
PRICE LAST START UP TO $7 MAX
WEIGHT CHANGE + - = 5 KG
MAX DISTANCE CHANGE 200 + -
LS MARGIN = WON OR 0.5 FROM WINNER
NO MORE THAN 2 SELECTIONS IN THE 1 RACE N/A

Sel 185
Win 32 (@17.3%)
Ret 201
Profit 16 (@8.6%)

lomaca 9th June 2010 03:05 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Stix
Think you are taking the pi$$ darky.....but best I can fit is:

Hi there Stix, always wondered why punters insist that one distance is a better betting proposition than an other.

Maybe because their "system" treats all distances the same way?
Any ideas?

Cheers

darkydog2002 9th June 2010 03:15 PM

No Stix,Not taking the PiXX but exactly as sold for around $250.
Are people really this mad buying this stuff?
I post em to give the novices some indication of what they can expect for their hard earned.
I,ve got one here that has between 18 - 35 bets a year (no more form of torture could be invented) but as I know the designer I wont embarrass him by posting it.By the way sold by the same source.

Cheers
darky

Bhagwan 9th June 2010 11:47 PM

This produced... Sat only results
42% SR
54% POT

RULES
Plc Ranking 1

Age 4yo only

Dist 1200m excatly

4+ career starts

LSW

Last start margin less than .80 lengths

SP on the day $8.00 & less

darkydog2002 10th June 2010 02:34 PM

Thanks Bgahwan.
Will give it a whirl.
Cheers
darky

Stix 11th June 2010 12:08 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan

LSW

Last start margin less than .80 lengths




Last strat Win and margin less than .8 lengths?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan

RULES
Plc Ranking 1

Age 4yo only

Dist 1200m excatly

4+ career starts

LSW

Last start margin less than .80 lengths

SP on the day $8.00 & less


All Days Metro-10 years
Sel 609
Win 178 (@ 29.2%)
Plc 373 (@ 61.25%)
WLoss -66 (10.8%)
PLoss - 32 (5.2%)

9.58% LOT for Saturdays

All Days Syd = 41% SR POT 31%

Stix 11th June 2010 12:14 PM

Last strat Win and margin less than .8 lengths?

Hmmm ..... margin >-0.8

Sel 178
Win 42(@ 23.6%)
Loss 35 (@ 19.4%)

Sat AND margin >-0.8
Sel 223
wins 81 (@36.2%
Loss 4 (@ 1.75%)

All Days AND margin >-0.8
Sel 332
wins 115 (@34.6%
Loss 1 (@ 0.24%)

TheSchmile 11th June 2010 12:53 PM

Hi Stix,

It's the Shmile here, the figures from your last post look encouraging.

If you find the time using the same margin >-0.8 could you also try:

Win last start was at the same track

Win last start was at the same track and distance

Win last start was the same track, distance and track condition.

I'd also like to know what prices you use for your stats if you don't mind sharing.

The Schmile

darkydog2002 11th June 2010 02:06 PM

Bgahwan
Just curious but why the Last Start Win by less than 0.8?
Thanks.
darky


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