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-   -   The Best Day to Lay Favourites (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=21199)

1annandale1 15th March 2011 11:19 AM

The Best Day to Lay Favourites
 
Having been laying favorites in specific races each day for the last 12months a daily pattern has started to emerge and i would be interested if any one has statistics to confirm this pattern over time.

To be more precise i am only laying races that are not maidens.

Their are further filters that bring the number of bets per week down to an average of 45.

I would like some general figures on the % of favorites that win each day of the week . My sample is only 1800races .

Clearly Saturday has the most bets.

I bet at all meetings where their is sufficient liquidity.

Cheers

wesmip1 15th March 2011 05:23 PM

Not sure how this will go and not sure if this is going to confirm your figures but lets see:

It is Day, Favs, Payout on Betprice, Payout on layprice



Friday10431077.121100.29
Monday679622.77638.22
Saturday23372383.482474.72
Sunday17511661.791711.88
Thursday11761147.921178.1
Tuesday756761.41784.75
Wednesday12171194.661222.2




Best days to lay favs are Monday and Sunday.


The only filter applied is to exclude maidens.

1annandale1 15th March 2011 10:23 PM

Thankyou Wesmpi1
Very informative
It is interesting that Monday with my system is the best lay day
albiet with the least number of bets
Nonetheless the difference is significant.
It will be interesting if this holds up over time
Conversley Tuesday is my worst day.
I wonder whether any training changes might have any effects on this.
Meaning changes to normal racing and training to facilitate racing on Monday.
Cheers

MyHatMyCoat 20th March 2011 09:47 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by wesmip1
Best days to lay favs are Monday and Sunday.

Couldn't agree more wesmip1, I generally find that the "pin" works best for picking winners on those days. LOL

Mark 21st March 2011 12:42 PM

Any day with the letter "A" in it.

Last Saturday was a great day to be a layer.

The best comment I heard on 4tab was "just back all the good things all up at Rosehill." The first one ran last.


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