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-   -   Some Sunday Sandown and Sale Greyhounds (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=21225)

moeee 20th March 2011 10:59 AM

Some Sunday Sandown and Sale Greyhounds
 
SANDOWN Race 6

1 MISS VIXEN $3.2
7 BOUNCER NORRIS $4.8
2 DR. REX $8
3 NERO LANKAN $9
4 CEE RIOLI $11
5 MAX'S AWESOME $12
8 STAR OF PEDRO $14

#1 Miss Vixen is certainly capable of leading all the way here.
But it resumes from a 2 month break.
If fit, it starts way too short for me.
If unfit, it blows out the Market and don't figure.
Either way is a non-bet.

A small FlexiTrifecta for $2 worth.
1,7 - 1,7,2,3 - 1,7,2,3

moeee 20th March 2011 12:30 PM

SANDOWN Race 8
 
2 WILD ARMS $3
5 TIME MATTERS $4.5
8 POWERFULL MISS $9
7 PEPE'S COLOUR $10
6 RAPID NEWFIRE $12
3 COOL LENNY $16
1 DR. EVEREST $25
4 VINCENT CHASE $25

Only 2 winning Chances on Form.
But is an ordinary betting Race due to difficulty lining up some of the runners from a spell and from other tracks and distances.

FlexiTrifecta for $2
2,5 - 2,5,8,7 - 2,5,8,7,6

moeee 20th March 2011 02:34 PM

SALE Race 8
 
5 PURE STEALTH $1.7
4 MARLEY AND ME $8.8
6 COMPLETE MADNESS $9
1 PURE NAUGHTY $10
7 TOO FAR GONE $33
8 WADELOCK AMORE $40
2 SOMEWHERE GIRL $50
9 STEALTHY PRINCE $200


The top selection here has not run at this track.
And has a win record of 4 from 33 starts.
Has not won for 6 months.
But it does place in 50% of its 33 starts.
What that tells me is this dog simply chases the lead dog.
But I'm placing $20 on it to win regardless.

Plus some Exactas in case it chooses not to go past the leading animal.
4,6,1 - 5 for $1

moeee 20th March 2011 02:55 PM

Messed up in Race 6 :(
Close, but no cigar.
I did take some Daily Doubles with the top 2 selections in each Leg and that hopefully returns my losses, because of my gamblerholicness.

So is just another case of fairly good handicapping, but poor Wagering.

moeee 20th March 2011 05:16 PM

Summing up a Market Wager
 
In Sandown Race 8, I managed the Quinella for half a Unit.
HOW did I get it based on My Ratings?
I had the Public Favourite at generous Odds, and figured I was close to the mark, so I boxed My other selections , that were all Overlays.
I took the top 5, but then eliminated Pepe Colour, which was returning from a LOOOOONG Spell, and was heaps Overweight.

Its hard to post Winning Wagers prior to the Race, because the Wagers depend on what Odds are available at Start Time.

moeee 20th March 2011 07:36 PM

Couldn't have the Winner of SALE Race 8 in a million years.
Lost badly on the Race.
But thats fine.
I'll get it back in the near future.
I always do.


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