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-   -   Testing a Neural System (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=21267)

michaelg 26th March 2011 12:10 PM

Testing a Neural System
 
Since Monday I've been looking at a neural system using the default settings.

The selection is the horse with the highest points at each venue. There have been no filters.

Today's selections are:

Wellington 3/7
Toowoomba 1/7
Rosehill 2/1
Caulfield 5/7
Dombeen 1/3
Morphetville 5/1
Colac 2/1
Gold Coast 1/3
Goulburn 6/3
Newcastle 7/14
Ascot 4/1

Yesterday was the only losing day for Win betting (lost $2.30), but it is still providing an overall profit. The highest divvy was $12.00.

It has also shown a profit with Place betting. It has won all five days. The results are based on NSW TAB divvies.

We'll see how it goes today.

michaelg 27th March 2011 09:29 AM

Not a losing day yesterday, but the profit was minimal - $0.80 for win and $0.30 for place betting.

Today's selections:

Cranbourne 1/2
Gawler 2/6
Geraldton 5/2
Hobart 5/2
Sun Coast 8/9
Wangaratta 3/4
Warwick Farm 6/7
Wellington 8/8

The Ocho 27th March 2011 10:52 AM

Interesting michaelg. I suppose Saturdays may be the hardest for the Neurals as there are a better class of horse competing against each other. Have any been really short priced apart from Black Caviar or are they pretty reasonable prices?

michaelg 27th March 2011 11:31 AM

I wasn't too unhappy about yesterday's results because I believe Saturday is probably the most inconsistent day for the neurals.

It would be expected that the selections would generally be the shortest fave for each meeting. In the testing period there were 31 selections for 17 winners. 7 of these have been odds-on. The highest winner has been $12.00, and the highest placegetter has been $5.40. So the prices of the selections haven't been too bad.

Today at Warwick Farm it would be expected that Hay List which is $1.60 in the Tele would be the selection, but its R6 no.7 at $4.40...???

jose 27th March 2011 01:01 PM

Michaelg, I have

WFarm R5-1 @ 233.3 points
WFarm R6-7 @ 163.3 points

???????????????

michaelg 27th March 2011 01:44 PM

Jose, its not uncommon for the neurals to change after the first race. I think this has happened because race 5/1 now has 273, while 6/7 has 270 points.

I double checked it this morning because I was surprised Hay List was not the selection.

jose 27th March 2011 02:14 PM

Mine still has my original figures from the previous post?
Beats me.

The reason I noticed is that I have been looking at something very similar.
The selections are not the same as yours but are very close.
From yesterday I had 8 bets for 3 winners and 6 placegetters.

8/3 & 6. $10:30 & $9:10.

Bit of a worry when the #'s change tho!

michaelg 27th March 2011 03:08 PM

Jose, the points quoted in my last post are also unchanged.

I have all the neural categories on a setting of 3 except WT which is on zero.

jose 27th March 2011 03:17 PM

That's the difference!

Today I have:

Hobart 5-2
WF 5-1
Wang 7-3
Gaw 8-6
Cran 9-3
Well 8-8
Sun Cst 8-9

So far so good, although no fancy prices amongst them.

jose 27th March 2011 07:33 PM

Even sort of day for me today.
No real damage tho as I tend to bet 1 x 4. Helps to overcome the shortish prices.
Great day for your stuff tho.


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