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-   -   Value Greyhounds (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=21430)

moeee 21st April 2011 11:37 AM
Value Greyhounds
 
BENDIGO Race 6

6 FLINT BALE $3
7 VEDDER BALE $3.3
2 CHARLIE CHA CHA $7.8
4 ROCKING OUT $7.8
3 KID APACHE $20
1 KALIMNA CHANCE $40
5 JIMMY ELITE $50
8 DIAL TRIPLE ZERO $50

I'm banking on #2 CHARLIE CHA CHA to figure and the top 4 to fill the podium in my $9 worth of FlexiTris.

6,7 - 6,7 - 2 $2.50
6,7 - 2 - 6,7 $1.50
2 - 6,7 - 6,7 $1.50
6,7 - 2,4 - 2,4 $1.50
2,4 - 6,7 - 2,4 $1
2,4 - 2,4 - 6,7 $1

moeee 21st April 2011 01:42 PM
BENDIGO Race 9
 
8 HOLY MOLEY $2.5
7 JALYN JONES $4.2
6 HOT CHANCE $10
2 GRANDO'S CHOICE $10
1 KID OTMAR $16
3 COOL LENNY $20
5 DOUBLE JUMP $33
9 OUR MAN BOND $50

The VALUE here could be that the usual bumps,thumps and dumps usually prevent one of the outstanding Quinella animals to fail.
So I'll take $6 worth of EXACTAS like this.

8 - 6,2 for $2
7 - 6,2 for $1

moeee 21st April 2011 02:51 PM
SANDOWN Race 3
 
6 DYNA MAX $5
1 CREATIVE ELUSION $6
8 CREWSAN JAY JAY $6
3 SEASPRAY SURFER $7
2 NAVEED BALE $7.6
4 MOUSE'S IMAGE $11.5
7 BUREAUCRAT $12
5 BINDI WAVES $33
I'll try some 50 cent Roving EXACTAs in this VERY VERY Open Race.
3 - 2,6,1,8
2 - 6,1,8

Costs $7 Total

moeee 21st April 2011 03:48 PM
SANDOWN Race 4
 
3 ZERO'S HERO $3.5
4 WONGAWILLI WALA $4.3
6 DYNA MORRIS $6
1 ALLEN LENNOX $6.5
8 ROXY'S FLAME $10
7 LIMBURG GOLD $25
2 CULLEN BALE $30

Perhaps is Best to go $7 straight out on the top selection to lead all the way.

moeee 21st April 2011 04:58 PM
SANDOWN Race 5
 
8 CROSSFARNOGUE $4
2 DARYA BALE $4.5
3 DAWBILOWS HEAVEN $6.8
5 LEPRECHAUN CHLOE $7.5
4 MINT POWER $9
6 PURE PEACHES $14
1 COOPER BALE $15

$6 straight out on #8 Crossfarnogue.

woof43 21st April 2011 07:12 PM
Race 3
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
6 DYNA MAX $5
1 CREATIVE ELUSION $6
8 CREWSAN JAY JAY $6
3 SEASPRAY SURFER $7
2 NAVEED BALE $7.6
4 MOUSE'S IMAGE $11.5
7 BUREAUCRAT $12
5 BINDI WAVES $33
I'll try some 50 cent Roving EXACTAs in this VERY VERY Open Race.
3 - 2,6,1,8
2 - 6,1,8

Costs $7 Total

First split times adjusted to the meadows
1 5.110
2 5.261
3 5.122
4 5.144
5 5.173
6 5.175
7 5.139
8 5.109
#1 has run some ordinary 2nd sectionals around two turn tracks, it will need to be well clear to after the first turn, it will need to rail as well.
Could open a big spot up for the Bates dog on the rails.
split make it look like the #1 and #8 lead 3,4,7 run tight to the first turn.

Box Combined Rank
1 $8.94 6
2 $5.17 1
3 $7.06 4
4 $6.47 3
5 $333.33 8
6 $8.77 5
7 $5.85 2
8 $9.05 7

moeee 21st April 2011 07:16 PM
SANDOWN Race 6
 
1 RED HOT ANDY $3.3
7 DYNA JOE $5.1
8 OUR TOYMAN $6.2
5 SHIRAZ COLOUR $7.8
6 BLING IT ON $8.7
4 JERSEY BALE $16
3 JUNIOR SHIRAZ $25

I'm figuring the Red could get problems in this.
Box Quinella
5,6,7,8 for $1

moeee 21st April 2011 07:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by woof43

Box Combined Rank
1 $8.94 6
2 $5.17 1
3 $7.06 4
4 $6.47 3
5 $333.33 8
6 $8.77 5
7 $5.85 2
8 $9.05 7


So how would you wager in a Race where every animal bar one has pretty much an equal Chance of winning?

woof43 21st April 2011 07:33 PM
at this very stage in betting, these are the trifecta wagers as per the expected tri pool.

MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/3/1/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/3/4/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/3/6/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/3/7/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/3/8/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/4/3/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/4/5/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/5/1/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/5/4/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/5/6/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/5/7/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/5/8/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/6/3/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/6/5/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/7/3/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/7/5/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/8/3/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/2/8/5/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/1/2/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/1/5/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/2/1/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/2/4/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/2/6/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/2/7/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/2/8/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/4/2/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/4/5/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/4/6/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/4/7/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/4/8/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/6/2/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/6/5/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/6/7/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/7/1/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/7/2/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/7/4/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/7/6/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/7/8/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/8/2/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/8/4/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/8/5/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/8/6/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/3/8/7/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/4/2/3/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/4/3/2/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/4/5/2/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/5/2/1/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/5/2/4/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/5/2/6/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/5/2/7/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/5/2/8/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/5/4/2/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/5/6/2/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/5/7/2/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/5/8/2/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/6/3/2/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/7/2/3/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/7/2/5/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/7/3/2/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/7/3/4/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/7/3/8/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/7/5/2/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/8/2/3/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/8/3/2/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/8/3/5/
MG-03-TT-00000.5/8/5/2/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/1/3/2/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/2/1/3/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/2/1/5/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/2/4/6/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/2/4/7/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/2/4/8/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/2/6/7/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/2/7/1/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/2/7/4/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/2/7/6/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/2/7/8/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/2/8/4/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/2/8/6/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/2/8/7/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/3/1/4/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/3/1/6/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/3/1/7/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/3/1/8/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/3/4/1/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/3/6/1/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/3/6/4/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/3/6/8/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/3/8/1/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/4/2/5/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/4/3/6/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/4/3/7/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/4/3/8/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/4/7/3/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/5/1/2/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/6/2/3/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/6/2/5/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/6/3/4/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/6/3/7/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/6/3/8/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/6/5/2/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/7/2/4/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/7/2/6/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/7/2/8/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/7/3/1/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/7/3/6/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/7/4/3/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/7/6/3/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/7/8/3/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/8/2/5/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/8/3/4/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/8/3/6/
MG-03-TT-00001.0/8/3/7/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/1/2/3/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/1/2/5/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/1/5/2/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/2/1/4/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/2/1/7/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/2/1/8/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/2/4/1/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/2/6/1/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/2/6/4/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/2/6/8/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/2/8/1/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/4/2/6/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/4/2/7/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/4/2/8/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/4/3/1/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/4/6/3/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/4/7/2/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/4/8/2/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/4/8/3/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/6/2/4/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/6/2/7/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/6/2/8/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/6/3/1/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/6/4/3/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/6/7/2/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/6/8/3/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/7/1/3/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/7/2/1/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/7/4/2/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/7/6/2/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/7/8/2/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/8/2/4/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/8/2/6/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/8/2/7/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/8/3/1/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/8/4/2/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/8/4/3/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/8/4/5/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/8/6/3/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/8/6/5/
MG-03-TT-00001.5/8/7/2/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/1/2/7/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/1/3/4/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/1/3/8/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/2/1/6/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/4/1/3/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/4/2/1/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/4/6/2/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/6/1/3/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/6/2/1/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/6/4/2/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/6/8/2/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/7/1/2/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/7/4/6/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/7/4/8/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/7/6/4/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/7/6/8/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/7/8/4/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/7/8/6/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/8/1/3/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/8/1/5/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/8/2/1/
MG-03-TT-00002.0/8/6/2/
MG-03-TT-00002.5/1/2/4/
MG-03-TT-00002.5/1/2/8/
MG-03-TT-00002.5/1/7/2/
MG-03-TT-00002.5/4/1/2/
MG-03-TT-00002.5/7/4/1/
MG-03-TT-00002.5/7/8/1/
MG-03-TT-00002.5/8/1/2/
MG-03-TT-00002.5/8/4/7/
MG-03-TT-00002.5/8/6/7/
MG-03-TT-00003.0/1/2/6/
MG-03-TT-00003.0/1/4/2/
MG-03-TT-00003.0/1/8/2/
MG-03-TT-00003.0/6/1/2/
MG-03-TT-00003.0/7/1/4/
MG-03-TT-00003.0/7/1/6/
MG-03-TT-00003.0/7/1/8/
MG-03-TT-00003.0/7/6/1/
MG-03-TT-00003.0/8/4/6/
MG-03-TT-00003.0/8/6/4/
MG-03-TT-00003.5/1/6/2/
MG-03-TT-00003.5/4/8/1/
MG-03-TT-00003.5/8/1/7/
MG-03-TT-00003.5/8/4/1/
MG-03-TT-00004.0/4/1/8/
MG-03-TT-00004.0/8/1/4/
MG-03-TT-00004.0/8/6/1/
MG-03-TT-00004.5/8/1/6/

moeee 21st April 2011 07:53 PM
I don't get it Woof43

Looking at your permutations and the Size of the Wagers, it appears that your most favoured selections are 8,4,1.
Yet the permutations of 1 - 4 - 8 and 1 - 8 - 4 appear to be ranked well down the list , if they appear at all.

How does that work?


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