High Strike Rate Favourites System
 

Hello Guys,

I am not sure how you would test this one however consider only those that are 'OPENING FAVOURITES' with the bookmaker ie IAS and run the following rules over them.

Through some manual testing I have seen this perform very highly. Around the 40% mark of winners.

Can anyone run this through a database using bookmakers opening favourite. I use bookmakers opening favourite as this I believe would be the most accurate assessment.

1. Ignore 2YO races

2. Ignore hurdle and steeple chases

3. Ignore any race less than 1200 metres

4. Only contender can be the favourite

5. Eliminate any horse that is first up after a spell

6. Eliminate any horse that didn’t run 1st 2nd or 3rd at its last start

7. Eliminate any horse going back in distance from its previous run

8. Eliminate any horse going up in distance more than 200 metres from its previous run

10. Eliminate any horse that did not run within the last 21 days

Looking forward to your feedback.

Cheers and thanks,

Mark

gee 40% winning strike rate would do me!
how many races in your manual estimate mark? if you don't mind me asking

in my case no need to follow up
have lost interest

A good lay system I have been using is this...

RULES
Target all runners with a win % of 40-99%

Lay them all if 6.00 & less.

Bet 1% level stakes.

This allows for 22+ outs.

Many will be short prices that fall over a lot.

A good lay system I have been using is this...

RULES
Target all runners with a win % of 40-99%

Lay them all if 6.00 & less.

Bet 1% level stakes.

This allows for 22+ outs.

Many will be short prices that fall over a lot.