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-   -   Greyhounds with Mo (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=21733)

moeee 2nd June 2011 10:57 AM

Greyhounds with Mo
 
WARRAGUL Race 8

4 HOODED KEATS $4.9
2 TIMELY OMEN $5
1 ZIEBELL $5.5
3 PURE INK $6.7
8 PARTO'S SIMBA $12
5 MISS MUM $13
7 BOZZCO $16
6 STONELEIGH $25

4 animals with equal Chances of winning here.
No bet unless $8 is available from these 4.
$4 or $5 on it.

moeee 2nd June 2011 11:31 AM

BENDIGO Race 6

1 WILD VIKI $2.8
2 ENEVER $5.9
8 FIRESIDE LITE $6.6
3 LARA'S ROCK $7.4
4 UNO THE DRILL $7.4
7 HEY KOBYBOYN $20

The Winner comes from the top 3 selections.
Again, the animal must be an Overlay or no bet.

moeee 2nd June 2011 01:02 PM

BENDIGO Race 7

4 KATSIDIS $3.4
6 BRECKENRIDGE $3.8
7 FIERCE WEETBIX $5.8
2 DELCORN BOY $8
1 ELITE CITY $14
8 AIRBOURNE SPOOKY $25
10 JASON STACKHOUSE $33

Is out of the top 4.

moeee 2nd June 2011 02:18 PM

BENDIGO Race 8

7 BAHMAN BALE $4.1
1 CHLOE'S GEM $5.1
6 PARKER BALE $5.6
2 ELITE LOMBO $7
5 SNIPER'S SPECIAL $8.4
3 XMAN $20
8 SUPERMEN LOVER $25
4 CARLANNA LAD $33

From the top 3 selections.

moeee 2nd June 2011 04:26 PM

SANDOWN Race 1

2 DARYA BALE $3.5
6 PROVEN MAYHEM $3.7
1 AMAKLER GIRL $4.7
4 SCHEHERAZADE $12
3 HAFREN BALE $16
7 MISS STACKHOUSE $20
8 DR. ROCHELLE $30
5 MRS. FREEZE $66

Only 3 winning Chances here.

woof43 2nd June 2011 05:45 PM

Track surface turned
 
Sandown posted a message to say they have turned the track surface over, if like other tracks BGC the races favour the dogs coming from behind.

moeee 2nd June 2011 06:07 PM

I don't think it means that Woof43.
I figure that it makes the track a little like a dead track in gallops, where animals feet sink in deeper and is like running in soft sand.
The faster they run, the deeper their feet sink , and the more energy is expended.

So it don't favour backmarkers, it actually penalizes frnt runners, as lond as they are very fast frnt runners , as distinct from default front runners.

woof43 2nd June 2011 06:27 PM

The last two races i consider the best value tonight Moee.

woof43 2nd June 2011 07:05 PM

Race 10
 
1 5.073 25.331
2 5.086 25.235
3 5.131 25.092
4 5.137 25.656
5 5.170 25.307
6 5.129 25.433
7 5.098 25.343
8 5.183 25.210
The #3 would be very hard to hold out in this event the inside 4 generally like wide on the track, #8 has been a touch unlucky when drawn the #8
I like the 3,2,8,1

moeee 2nd June 2011 07:12 PM

Woof43

I haven't checked, but I have a fairly strong feeling that if I backed ALL My Top Selections at Level Stakes on the TAB , I would be making a Profit.

But they all seem to start a lot below My Assessed Price.
I guess thats all my problem now for not keeping records.

Regardless, if it is True, does that mean there must be something wrong with the way I assess My Markets?


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