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-   -   Monday Greyhounds (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=21824)

moeee 13th June 2011 11:56 AM

Monday Greyhounds
 
CRANBOURNE Race 6

2 ZIPPSTAR $3.4
6 CHIEF BAMBURY $4.7
4 PEDRO'S FINEST $4.7
1 DISRAELI $7.8
3 STATE OF POWER $14
5 SISCO TURBO $30
7 AREJAY ELITE $33
8 DAWN PRINCESS $40

Little between the top 3 in Race Times, so I advantaged the top selection only because it will lead.

moeee 13th June 2011 01:56 PM

CRANBOURNE Race 8

8 STEFAN BALE $2.3
6 CONNOR'S FURY $4.8
2 LUCENT $8
1 THANKS DES $14
7 RUNNIN' JUMPIN' $16
5 ALETA ALLEN $20
3 MIA TIGER $33
4 BINDI WAVES $33

Top selection having 1st start here , but is strong and should be suited.
2nd selection ran the Race of its Life with 2 lengths behind Radley Bale here last start.It won't repeat that effort.
The next 2 selections both ran last night - you make up your own minds what that means!!

moeee 13th June 2011 02:59 PM

CRANBOURNE Race 9

6 INVICTUS PHOENIX $3.3
4 AXEMAN $6.2
5 BARNEY'S PRIDE $6.9
3 OH WATTA MOVER $9.6
2 PLUTO POWER $11
7 INVICTUS VENESSA $12
8 WHY NOT BOB $16
1 OCTILLY GIRL $16

Top selection has excellent Form , but was aided by a remarkable run of drawing Box 1.
Box 6 could easily bring it undone.

woof43 13th June 2011 03:55 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
CRANBOURNE Race 6

2 ZIPPSTAR $3.4
6 CHIEF BAMBURY $4.7
4 PEDRO'S FINEST $4.7
1 DISRAELI $7.8
3 STATE OF POWER $14
5 SISCO TURBO $30
7 AREJAY ELITE $33
8 DAWN PRINCESS $40

Little between the top 3 in Race Times, so I advantaged the top selection only because it will lead.

adjusted to meadows
1 5.228
2 5.020
3 5.234
4 5.254
5 5.223
6 5.217
7 5.215
8 5.297
Your right about the #2 , #6 its performance drop right off for the 2nd sectionals where its drawn, the #4 last start ran a poor 1st section, if it can begin better you'd expect it to be very hard to hold out.
4,2,3 for mine

moeee 13th June 2011 04:09 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by woof43
#6 its performance drop right off for the 2nd sectionals where its drawn,


How many lines of relevant data are you basing that conclusion on?
I mean , ideally relevant would be actual Cranbourne starts from that Box.
But that would make the pool of data extremely tiny.
So obviously there are other tracks and Box Draws that can be used.

woof43 13th June 2011 04:34 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
How many lines of relevant data are you basing that conclusion on?
I mean , ideally relevant would be actual Cranbourne starts from that Box.
But that would make the pool of data extremely tiny.
So obviously there are other tracks and Box Draws that can be used.

Its had 8 starts that box
5 on two turn tracks,
its std dev is very tight meaning it has run consistently the same. over the splits it's about .7 of a metre of its usual pace, and close to 3 metres over the second split.
It may find trouble, if you draw a line thru its split

woof43 13th June 2011 05:02 PM

Race 7
 
Adjusted to meadows
1 5.084
2 5.140
3 5.412
4 5.130
5 5.188
6 5.188
7 5.138
8 5.283
Early speed is all inside and all the late pace is outside,

Looks like two lines of break at the start with the 1,2,3 running back diagonally, and the same for the 4,5,6,7,8
expect the leaders to be 1,2 4,5 with the #5 having very good 2nd sectionals.
5,4, and a blanket for the rest for mine

moeee 13th June 2011 05:21 PM

Woof43

Which Forum do your post your horse stuff?
I've never thought of you as having a horse interest.
Did move from greyhounds to horses recently?

springjoker 13th June 2011 05:53 PM

Tracked you down moeee, see your still doing your markets well. Hopefully you punted well today. Nothing changed with me still punting on odds on favs. And having the odd sportsbet. I punt best when I bet on place bets on greyhounds and horses. But I can't resist putting the lot on an odds on pop at one stage and doing the lot.

moeee 13th June 2011 05:56 PM

If there are any young , or not so young members who would like to grow up as clever a Punter as me , don't be too shy to ask me for help.


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