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michaelg 12th August 2011 11:25 AM

Testing Place System
 
For the past week the following system has shown about a 10% POT on Place betting using Unitab divvies. Unfortunately I haven't bet them.

1) Default neural settings.
2) Outright top in the Dist category.
3) Max distance of 1,400 metres.

Unfortunately I haven't recorded the size of the fields.

Five selections today. We'll see how they go.

Geelong
3/9

Ipswich
1/7
6/2

Wagga
5/1
6/3

lomaca 12th August 2011 12:51 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
For the past week the following system has shown about a 10% POT on Place betting using Unitab divvies. Unfortunately I haven't bet them.

1) Default neural settings.
2) Outright top in the Dist category.
3) Max distance of 1,400 metres.

Unfortunately I haven't recorded the size of the fields.

Five selections today. We'll see how they go.

Geelong
3/9

Ipswich
1/7
6/2

Wagga
5/1
6/3
If interested I could check it for you before investing too much?
Cheers

michaelg 12th August 2011 01:39 PM

lomaca, if you would please.

There's been two selections today that have already run - a first and a fourth.

lomaca 12th August 2011 05:36 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
lomaca, if you would please.

There's been two selections today that have already run - a first and a fourth.
Here you are Michael

Races tested 6646
total return $5986.72
POT -11%
S/R 40.26%

All races all tracks all race type included.
Does look like it has potential.

The last time I ran this programme was about two years ago and now it seems to be uncommon sluggish so I have to look at it before I can test this idea in more detail.
I included the test file printout that you can put into excel and see if you can find any clues.

The attached zip is a textfile that will easily import into excel as a "fixed width" text file.

Good luck

lomaca 13th August 2011 10:10 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
Here you are Michael

Races tested 6646
total return $5986.72
POT -11%
S/R 40.26%

All races all tracks all race type included.
Does look like it has potential.

Ran it on about 1400 Metro races and the loss is around 20% so leaving those out almost makes it profit neutral, which is not bad at all.
Although some tracks seem to do better than others.
All it needs is an other filter maybe size of field?

Have to fix this routine before I do any more testing, it used to take about 10 minutes to do 50 thousand races and now it takes over an hour to do just 5 thousand, strange?

michaelg 13th August 2011 10:44 AM

Thanks, lomaca.

It's the usual story with the neurals - they don't perform too well with metro tracks.

Unfortunately I know zero about computers so I can't offer any suggestions about the problem.

lomaca 13th August 2011 07:48 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Thanks, lomaca.

It's the usual story with the neurals - they don't perform too well with metro tracks.
Sorry Michael, tried different combinations of field-size they come close to breakeven but not winning, and the long outs will kill it for most punters.

Tried only the ones with at least 10 points diff between the first and second, it naturaly increased the S/R but the divies got very skinny.

The best is to try it on track by track, because, it may sound strange but different tracks behave differently, after over 12 years I still can't find a reason for this.

I will set it up and run it, will take a couple of days.
In the mean time the top rated if top rated in distance as well is not a bad proposition.

Good luck

lomaca 15th August 2011 10:34 AM

Neural Distance
 
Only one today see how it goes
Launceston race 4 #1 Brave Mukky rated at $ 2.45
Good luck

lomaca 15th August 2011 01:30 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
Only one today see how it goes
Launceston race 4 #1 Brave Mukky rated at $ 2.45
Good luck
No qualifiers for Tuesday but try this one for a place $1.00 only it will be very long but can place (win???)

GOS Race 3 Maiden 15 Fayez

As always, good luck, we need it for sure.

michaelg 16th August 2011 09:12 AM

lomaca, I've been looking at a lay method, and it seems that the higher the TAB number then the more chance it has of losing the race.

Based on this, is it possible to look at, say TAB nos. 1 to 4 in our Place method and see how it goes?

Thanks
Michael.


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