Fractured Favourites - LAY
 

Hi all,

Here's a LAY system I'm dabbling with. I'm not betting selections at present, however I will post them and monitor from there.

Rules:
1/ Must be pre-post fav (I'm using **************)
2/ Must not have won at the track, the distance or in today's track conditions.
3/ No Maidens

Note: Regarding Good and Dead track, I differentiate between the both, so if the selection has won on Dead but not Good such as Lord Wimble today, it is a selection. I am also using racingandsports form to gage whether they have won in today's track conditions.

For now I'm not putting any price parameters on the selections and will record profit/loss figures using flat 1 unit stakes according to Betfair SP.

Today's selections:
Hamilton
6 - 3 Honour Jacko
7 - 1 Wells
8 - 3 Lord Wimble



Cheers,

The Schmile

Apologies,

8 - 3 Lord Wimble has been scratched

Nice start to proceedings with both horses unplaced.

6 - 3 Honour Jacko - $4.39 SP
7 - 1 Wells - $5.07 SP

Out: 2 In: 2
P/L: +2

Just the one lay today based on current slow conditions at Kembla Grange.

Kembla Grange
6 - 2 Rampart



Cheers,

The Schmile

Not a good Lay today.

Rampart$3.07 SP killed them by 2 lengths and had previous form at 1200m behind Testarhythm.

I was worried before the race, however for the purpose of testing the system decided to keep it as a selection.

Might introduce a rule:

Cannot be coming down in class.

New rules:
1/ Must be pre-post fav (I'm using **************)
2/ Must not have won at the track, the distance or in today's track conditions.
3/ No Maidens
4/ Cannot be coming down in class

Out: 1 In: - 2.07
Running P/L: -0.07

Today's selections:

Balaclava
8 - 5 Always Focus

Belmont
3 - 6 Box'ochocolates

Canterbury
1 - 1 Many Stars
3 - 3 Moravany


The Schmile

Bitten by Many Stars.

Me thinks this is a system for the country/provincials.

Bounced Back after the initial loss today:

Balaclava
8 - 5 Always Focus - unpl $3.35

Belmont
3 - 6 Box'ochocolates - 2nd $4.53

Canterbury
1 - 1 Many Stars - 1st $3.24
3 - 3 Moravany - unpl (4 horse field)

Out: 4 In: 4.61
P/L: .61

Running P/L: + 0.44

Showers scheduled for Grafton and the Gold Coast so conditions could change rapidly:

Today's selelctions (with conditions they have won in next to them in bold):

Gold Coast
7 - 5 Top of the Rock D
Grafton
9 - 3 Now who's cautious G, S
Launceston
1 - 2 Jacorijim G



The Schmile

Just the one selection after track conditions settled for a collect:

7 - 5 Top of the Rock 3rd $3

Out: 1 In: .95
P/L: .95
Running P/L: +1.56