602 Selections Laying System 100% strike rate
 

100% strike rate systems test to be longer priced odds and thus bigger risk. This system is no exception. If you were to use this I would suggest using a max liability staking method.

Rules:
Barrier <= 8 (Means price is not inflated due to bad barrier)
Rating <= 85 (Rated poorly)
Careeer Races >= 5 (Enough races for accurate rating)
Win Price (lay side) >= 100


There were 27353 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time. There were 602 selections for the System
There were 602 which Lost (did not win race) for the System for a strike rate of 100%
You had to pay out $ but brought in $571.9 after 5% commission. This means a Profit or loss of $571.9 or a percentage profit/loss of 95%

Very enlightening UB

There were 33019 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.There were 694 selections for the System
There were 693 which Lost (did not win race) for the System for a strike rate of 99.86%
You had to pay out $400.00 but brought in $659.3 after 5% commission. This means a Profit or loss of $259.3 or a percentage profit/loss of 37.36%

Test Another System


Looks like it hit 1 winner. Still a healthy profit overall though.

I updated the last weeks of results today so thought I would go through and retest some of these systems.



There were 43652 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.There were 900 selections for the System
There were 899 which Lost (did not win race) for the System for a strike rate of 99.89%
You had to pay out $400.00 but brought in $855 after 5% commission. This means a Profit or loss of $455 or a percentage profit/loss of 50.56%

Test Another System
The Rules used were : WinPriceLay >= 100 and barrier <= 8 and rating <= 85 and careerRaces >= 5


Looking ok overall.

There were 58453 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 1167 selections for the System
There were 1007 races for the System
There were 1165 which Lost (did not win race) for the System for a strike rate of 99.83%
You had to pay out $530.00 but brought in $1108.65 after 5% commission. This means a Profit or loss of $578.65 or a percentage profit/loss of 49.58%


Test Another System The Rules used were : WinPriceLay >= 100 and barrier <= 8 and rating <= 85 and careerRaces >= 5


This one continues to produce a profit.

3 more months of data and the profit continues. Logic rules make a profit nearly all the time.



There were 1779 selections for the System
There were 1531 races for the System
There were 1775 which Lost (did not win race) for the System for a strike rate of 99.78%
You had to pay out $930.00 but brought in $1663.365 after 5% commission. This means a Profit or loss of $733.365 or a percentage profit/loss of 41.22%


Test Another System


The Rules used were : WinPriceLay >= 100 and barrier <= 8 and rating <= 85 and careerRaces >= 5

lol nice, plenty of action there too with like 6 selections a day.

Any stats on the finish positions of these runners?

First Number is the finishing position. Second number is how many times they ran that position. Interestingly they either win or run very badly. Now I am not one to say that horse racing is corrupt but you sometimes have to wonder how those 4 horses had such a remarkable turn around in form. Also note this is now over 1904 selections as my personal databsae is slightly up to date further then the online version.

1	- 4
5	- 125
6	- 256
8	- 444
9	- 261
10	- 299
11	- 144
12	- 269
13	- 40
14	- 50
15	- 10
17	- 2

Thanks UB thats very interesting.

Yer I'd say those 4 runners definitely slipped through the steroid screening :P