Laying using the Predictor (A T R)
 

I tried something last night in the UK markets which focuses on using the A T R Predictor. (Available "at the races" website ).

The Rules are simple:

1. Only consider races with 70%+ race confidence.
2. Find the thirds rated Horse and divide its rating by 1.4 ( meaning we are finding horses rated 40% less then the third top rated horse.
3. Lay all horses that are below this figure.

For example if the 3rd rated horse was rated 423 then we would lay any horses in the same race which are 302.14 or less.

The test last night layed 26 horses ranging from $10 through to $300 using a fixed liability (ie To lose a theoretical $100). It made $85. Only 2 horses placed. No money was gained/lost in this test and it will continue the same until this proves itself with 3000 or more testing lays.

For those interested I will be laying the following horses tonight:

Track / UK Time / Horse

Cheltenham 14:35:00 Swincombe Rock
Naas (IRE) 15:05:00 First Impressions
Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 In Great Form
Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 Minor Power
Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 The Burrow Vision
Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 Kilberg Opera
Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 Equation
Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 The real Tyson
Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 Sitting back
Wolvehampton 18:20:00 Skylla
Wolvehampton 20:20:00 Carnival Dream
Lingfield 12:00:00 Trust me Boy
Lingfield 14:50:00 Global City
Lingfield 15:55:00 Under fire
Lingfield 15:55:00 Beckfield Dancer
Uttoxeter 15:15:00 Thetasteofparadise
Wetherby 13:45:00 Panthers Run
Wetherby 15:25:00 Shadows Lengthen

All selections lost last night.

The theoretical return after 2 days is now $145 after 38 selections.

This still a goer UB?

Yeah still montioroing it. It had no winners last night again.

Selections for tonight. These are to 1.3 rather then 1.4 as Im just testing to find the right figure to divide by.

Limerick (IRE) 13:40:00 Close Comet
Limerick (IRE) 13:40:00 Keysers hill
Limerick (IRE) 13:40:00 The Two jays
Limerick (IRE) 14:15:00 Cara Court
Limerick (IRE) 14:15:00 For Dylan
Limerick (IRE) 14:15:00 The Real Target
Limerick (IRE) 15:45:00 Calypso Queen
Limerick (IRE) 15:45:00 Vardas Supreme
Limerick (IRE) 15:45:00 Catch the Stalker
Limerick (IRE) 15:45:00 Senior Again
Limerick (IRE) 15:45:00 Valors Minion
Limerick (IRE) 15:45:00 RobertsTown Rover
Limerick (IRE) 15:45:00 Clares Gent
Limerick (IRE) 15:45:00 The Burrow vision
Plumpton 14:30:00 FoxesBow
Plumpton 15:00:00 Monash Lad
Leichester 15:20:00 Phoenix Eye
Leichester 15:50:00 Posh Totty
Wolvehampton 16:10:00 Elegant Dancer
Wolvehampton 17:10:00 Holcombe Boy
Wolvehampton 17:10:00 Lucky Dan
Wolvehampton 17:40:00 Fleetwoodsands

Good luck with it UB. There are a lot of horses being laid in the 15:45 at Limerick.

Actually that reminds me of something; There once was a man from Nantucket.....


:D

hi uselessbettor
is there a A T R Predictor or like available for australian races?
thanks

I think there are about 16+ horses in the race.

Not that I know of.. But if you find one please let me know.

ok i'll do that
cheers